Workshop on Simulation and Prediction of Intra-Seasonal Variability

The ECMWF/CLIVAR Workshop on "Simulation and Prediction of Intra-Seasonal Variability with Emphasis on the MJO" was held at ECMWF from 3 to 6 November 2003.

Description

The workshop discussed observations, simulations, predictions and studies of predictability, of seasonal variability with emphasis on the Madden-Julian Oscillation.

The duration of the meeting was 4 days, which allowed two-and-a-half days for lectures, one day for Group discussions, and the final afternoon for a plenary session.

Programme

PDF iconIntroduction and working group reports

PDF iconProgramme

Presentations

Introduction

Tim Palmer

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Overview  

The structure and annual cycle of the MJO

Chidong Zhang

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Dynamics of the intra-seasonal oscillation

Bin Wang

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The Madden-Julian oscillation in general circulation models

Kenneth R Sperber

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Observations, Mechanisms and Theories  

Intraseasonal oscillations in the mid-latitudes: observations, theory and GCM results

Michael Ghil

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Structure and Propagation of a Modeled MJO

Dave Raymond

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MJO-like systems and moisture-convection feedback in idealized aquaplanet simulations

Wojtek Grabowski

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Analytic representation of the multiscale organization of tropical convection

Mitch Moncrieff

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The use of high resolution numerical simulations of tropical circulation to calibrate stochastic physics schemes

Glenn Shutts

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Influence of Process Interactions on MJO-like Convective Structures in the IFS Model

Adrian Tompkins & Thomas Jung

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The cumulus parameterization problem in the context of MJO simulations

Jun-Ichi Yano

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On the role of the MJO in exciting El Nino

Geert Jan van Oldenburgh

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The role of atmosphere-ocean coupling in the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Steve Woolnough

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Role in climate  

Climate scale interactions in the tropical Indian and Pacific basins involving MJO and high-frequency wind variability

Jean-Philippe Boulanger

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Simulation of the tropical intraseasonal oscillation with a coupled GCM

Silvio Gualdi

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The MJO in global climate models

Peter Inness

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Monsoon variability in different versions of the Met Office climate model

Gill Martin

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Analysis of the variability of African Easterly Waves in simulations with ARPEGE-Climat

Jean-François Royer

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Predictability  

Techniques and experiences in real-time prediction of the MJO and its associated weather: The BMRC perspective

Matt Wheeler

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Numerical simulation and prediction methods for tropical intra-seasonal variability: Extensions of empirical Bayesian concepts

Peter Webster

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Simulation and prediction of the MJO with the NCEP global forecast model

Wanqui Wang

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MJO prediction in the ECMWF monthly forecasting system

Frederic Vitart & David Anderson

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Analysis of the tropical intra-seasonal oscillation in the DEMETER multi-model system

Paco Doblas-Reyes

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Proceedings

Climate scale interactions in the Indio-Pacific basins

J-P Boulanger

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Tropical Intra-seasonal oscillations in the DEMETER multi-model system

F J Doblas-Reyes

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Intraseasonal oscillations in the mid-latitudes: observations, theory and GCM results

M Ghil

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MJO-like systems and moisture-convection feedback in idealized aquaplanet simulations

W W Grabowski

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The MJO in global climate models

P Inness

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Monsoon variability in different versions of the Met Office climate model

G Martin

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Nonlinear analytic representation of MJO-like coherence

M M Moncrieff

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On the role of the MJO in exciting El Nino

G J Oldenborgh

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Structure and propagation of modeled MJO - emphasis on the East Pacific

D J Raymond

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Analysis of the variability of African easterly waves in simulations with ARPEGE-Climat

J-F Royer

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The use of high resolution numerical simulations of tropical circulation to calibrate stochastic physics schemes

G Shutts

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The Madden-Julian oscillation in general circulation models

K R Sperber

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Influence of process interactions on MJO-like convective structures in the IFS model

A Tompkins

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MJO prediction in the ECMWF monthly forecasting system

F Vitart

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Fundamental dynamics of tropical intraseasonal oscillation

B Wang

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Simulation and prediction of the MJO with the NCEP models

W Wang

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Modeling strategies arising from the empirical prediction of the monsoon on intraseasonal time scales

P J Webster

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Techniques and experiences in real-time prediction of the MJO and its associated weather: The BMRC perspective

M Wheeler

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The role of atmosphere-ocean coupling in the MJO

S J Woolnough

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The cumulus parameterization problem in the context of MJO simulations

J-I Yano

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Structures of the MJO: implications to its air-sea interaction and dynamics

C Zhang

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Local information


You can also see an archive of past workshops

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