How to pin down uncertainty in weather forecasting

How can we best represent uncertainty in weather forecasting models? ECMWF scientist Sarah-Jane Lock will chart the way forward in a talk at the four-day Annual Seminar on ensemble prediction (11 to 14 September).

11 September 2017

New GloFAS river discharge forecasts put to the test

Severe flooding along the cross-border Asian rivers of the Ganges and Brahmaputra in July and August this year coincided with tests of new extended-range river discharge forecasts at ECMWF.

Forecast charts and data

We provide current forecasts, climate reanalyses and specific datasets. These are available via the web, point-to-point dissemination, data servers and broadcasting.

Plot of the week 15 Sep 2017

Plot of the week

Five-day forecast of #Aileen wind gusts showed signal in right location but closer fit with observations in short range.

Datasets

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Advancing weather science

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ECMWF lecture theatre

ECMWF workshops are open to the worldwide meteorological community, though some training is restricted to member states.