The 11th Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems was held from 12 to 16 November 2007.
Description
The objective of the workshop is to review the state of the art of meteorological operational systems and to address future trends in:
Use and interpretation of medium and extended range forecast guidance
The ECMWF forecasting system provides users with operational forecast guidance twice daily for the medium range, including a high-resolution deterministic forecast run at 25km resolution (T799) and an Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) run at 50km (T399). In autumn 2006, the VarEPS system was introduced, extending the EPS range to 15 days, with the portion from 10-15 days run at a reduced 80km resolution (T255). ECMWF also runs a coupled atmosphere-ocean forecasting system to provide longer-range predictions, providing operational forecasts once a week for a month ahead and once a month out to seven months. A new seasonal forecasting system was implemented in spring 2007. Following the extension of the daily medium-range forecasts to 15 days, ECMWF intends to unify the VarEPS and monthly forecast systems. Products for the unified system will be developed during 2007 to meet user requirements.
These changes to the forecasting systems will be presented at the workshop, together with developments in the field of products and verification for severe weather. It is expected that users of the ECMWF forecasts will report on their approach to medium and extended range weather forecasting, including the use and application of ECMWF products. It is planned to address the issue of severe weather forecasting in a working group, and contributions from other operational centres addressing, in particular, the prediction and verification of severe weather will be welcome.
Operational data management systems
Traditionally, the operational meteorological community has collaborated through the WMO to establish standard ways of exchanging data. Dedicated telecommunication lines were built to transport data bulletins securely and efficiently.
During the last decades the Internet has developed into a serious alternative to the operational data exchange networks, allowing fast and relatively reliable point to point communications. The academic world has developed its own data formats and transport mechanisms suitable for their large environmental data sets. Also commercial companies are making use of web based technologies.
All of these developments pose many challenges to the meteorological community such as:
- how can we use this new wealth of available infrastructures, tools and services?
- how do we make our own data available to new communities?
This workshop is an opportunity to share experiences and plans regarding the resolution of interoperability problems and the adoption of new standards and tools, such as service oriented architectures or geographical information systems, in the field of national and international data exchange and processing. These issues will be discussed further in the working group.
Meteorological visualisation applications
The design of the user interface is a very important factor in how much a user can gain out of their visualisation applications. The developments in recent years in desktop APIs and web technologies, including GUIs, are now finding their way into a new generation of meteorological graphics packages. These offer many new ways of interacting with data. The appearance of web frameworks allows the development of more interactive web applications. Such developments may be discussed in a working group.
Higher resolution model output and observational data leave users wishing to zoom further into plots. This will require more GIS information for orientation and more navigational control over the graphics. Another consideration is how best to manage and make use of the ever increasing amount of satellite data available.
Developments in this area for interactive and batch production of meteorological plots will be presented and demonstrated at an exhibition. New meteorological visualisation applications and updates to existing applications will also be presented.
Programme
Introduction and working group reports
Presentations
| Monday 12 November | |
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Session 1: Use and interpretation of medium and extended range forecast guidance |
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Probabilistic forecasting Franco Molteni (ECMWF) |
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Medium range forecasting: An updated NCEP/HPC operational methodology Michael Schichtel (NOAA) |
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The new DWD forecast system Thomas Hanisch (DWD) |
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An update on CMCM ensemble forecast system for the medium range Normand Gagnon (Canadian Meteorological Centre) |
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ECMWF forecasting system: Performance and product development David Richardson (ECMWF) |
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Symposium 2 - Towards an optimal combination of numerical prediction and human interpretation Frederic Atger (Meteo-France) |
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MOGREPS short-range ensemble forecasting and the PREVIEW Windstorms project Ken Mylne (Met Office) |
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Five years of limited-area ensemble activities at Arpa-Sim: The COSMO-LEPS system Andrea Montani (Hydrometeorological Service of Emilia-Romagna) |
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Meteogroup Operational System: Automated forecasts, meteorologist intervention and final products Eric Terpstra (Meteo Consult) |
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| Tuesday 13 November | |
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Session 2: Operational data management systems |
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TIGGE and BRIDGE Baudouin Raoult (ECMWF) |
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TIGGE at NCAR Doug Schuster (NCAR) |
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SIMDAT: Elements for building the WIS Guillaume Aubert (ECMWF) |
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Experience with the TIDB database interface in managing meteorological observation and forecast data Joao Simoes (IM) |
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SOPRANO, a service oriented production system Matteo Dell'Acqua/Yann Genin (Meteo-France) |
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Tomorrow's data discovery and availability services at FMI Ilkka Rinne (FMI) |
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Session 1: Use and interpretation of medium and extended range forecast guidance |
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European meteorological warnings with the EUMETNET - METEOALARM system Michael Staudinger (ZAMG) |
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European Flood Alert System EFAS Jens Bartholmes (JRC) |
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Conditional exceedance probabilities and the prediction of extreme events Simon Mason (IRICS) |
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Recent developments in severe weather forecasting at the DWD Thomas Schumann (DWD) |
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The use of ECMWF products at ACMAD, their performance in forecasting severe weather in Africa Mariane Diop-Kane (ACMAD) |
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The concept of triggers - staying ahead of (severe) weather developments Marcel Molendijk (KNMI) |
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| Wednesday 14 November | |
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Session 3: Meteorological visualisation applications |
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Meeting the challenges of the next generation of user interfaces Sylvie Thepaut/Iain Russell (ECMWF) |
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Synergie updates and plans Antoine Lasserre-Bigorry (Meteo-France) |
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Visualisation and production using Ninjo Michael Rohn (DWD) |
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Forecaster workstation replacement at the UK Met Office Paul Rogers (Met Office) |
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Frodo, an integrated MHO-product production system Tomas Karlsson (SMHI) |
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Session 1: Use and interpretation of medium and extended range forecast guidance |
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JMA's ensemble prediction system for one-month and seasonal predictions Akihiko Shimpo (Japan Meteorological Agency) |
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ECMWF monthly and seasonal forecasts Laura Ferranti (ECMWF) |
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Experiences on using VAREPS products at the HMS Istvan Ihasz (Hungarian Meteorological Service) |
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PREVIEW observation targeting experiment Cristina Prates (ECMWF) |
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| Thursday 15 November | |
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Session 3: Meteorological visualisation applications |
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NAWIPS status and plans Steve Schotz (NOAA) |
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Diana - an open source production and visualisation package Lisbeth Bergholt (Norwegian Meteorological Institute) |
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Session 1: Use and interpretation of medium and extended range forecast guidance |
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The use of medium range and seasonal forecast at CPTEC Nelson Ferreira (CPTEC) |
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Numerical weather forecast and digital forecast at KMA Young-Youn Park (KMA) |
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Exploring ensemble forecast calibration issues using reforecast data sets Tom Hamill (NOAA ESRL/PSD) |
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Session 2: Operational data management systems |
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Overview of the recent progress in the development and operational applications of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model Dale Barker (NCAR) |
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Numerical weather forecast and digital forecast at KMA Toff Anderson (Met Office) - talk given by Andrew Kirkman |
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GEONETCast - delivering environmental data to Users worldwide Lothar Wolf (Eumetsat) |
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Real-time and archive data services at ECMWF Dragan Jokic (ECMWF) |
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| Friday 16 November | |
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Session 2: Operational data management systems |
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DIFMET, soprano product dissemination system Jacques Anquetil (Meteo-France) |
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Recent developments and IM operational experience using Paipix for integrating meteorological systems Antonio Amorim (SIM and FC Universidade de Lisboa) |
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Support for WMO codes Enrico Fucile/Sue Madry |
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Working groups
| Working group 1: use and interpretation of medium and extended range forecast guidance | |
| Working group 2: Interoperability | |
| Working group 3: Meteorological visualisation applications | |
Proceedings
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Recent developments and IM operational experience using Paipex for integrating meteorological systems A Amorin |
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DIFMET, soprano product dissemination system J Anquetil |
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Symposium-2 - Towards an optimal combination of numerical prediction and human interpretation F Atger |
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European Flood Alert System EFAS J Bartholmes |
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Diana - an opensource production and visualisation package - 2008 L Bergholt |
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The use of ECMWF products at ACMAD, their performance in forecasting severe weather in Africa M Diop Kane |
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ECMWF monthly and seasonal forecasts L Ferranti |
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The use of medium range and seasonal forecast and visualisation package N Ferreira |
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An update on CMCM ensemble forecast system for the medium range N Gagnon |
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Exploring ensemble forecast calibration issues using reforecast at KMA T Hamill |
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Medium range forecasting: An updated NCEP/HPC operational methodology T Hanisch |
|
|
Experiences on using VAREPS products at the HMS I Ihasz |
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|
Real-time and archive data services at ECMWF D Jokic |
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Support for WMO codes S Madry |
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|
The concept of triggers - staying ahead of (severe) weather developments M Molendijk |
|
|
Probabilistic forecasting F Molteni |
|
|
Five years of limited-area ensemble activities at Arpa-Sim: The COSMO-LEPS system A Montani |
|
|
MOGREPS short-range ensemble forecasting and the PREVIEW Windstorms project K Mylne |
|
|
Numerical weather forecast and digital forecast at KMA Y Park |
|
|
PREVIEW observation targeting experiment C Prates |
|
|
ECMWF forecasting system: Performance and product development D Richardson |
|
|
Tomorrow's data discovery and availability services at FMI I Rinne |
|
|
Forecaster workstation replacement at the UK Met Office P Rogers |
|
|
Visualisation and production using NinJo M Rohn |
|
|
Medium range forecasting: An updated NCEP/HPC operational methodology M Schichtel |
|
|
NAWIPS status and plans S Schotz |
|
|
Recent developments in severe weather forecasting at the DWD T Schumann |
|
|
TIGGE at NCAR D Schuster |
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|
JMA's ensemble prediction system for one-month and seasonal predictions A Shimpo |
|
|
European meteorological warnings with the EUMETNET - METEOALARM system M Staudinger |
|
|
Meeting the challenges of the next generation of user interfaces S Thepaut and I Russell |
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|
GEONETCast - delivering environmental data to Users worldwide L Wolf |
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SOPRANO, a service oriented production system M Dell'Acqua and Y Genin |
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