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Ensemble model error at Météo-France

Author

F. Bouttier

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17616-ensemble-model-error-meteo-france.pdf

Uncertainty quantificatin in ocean models

Author

Laure Zanna

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17617-uncertainty-quantificatin-ocean-models.pdf

Upscale and downscale error growth

Author

D. Durran

J. Weyn

M. Gingrich

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17618-upscale-and-downscale-error-growth.pdf

Tropical-extratropical interactions in ensemble predictions from sub-seasonal to decadal scales

Author

Franco Molteni

Sarah-Jane Lock

Tim Stockdale

Frédéric Vitart

R. Farneti

F. Kucharski

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17619-tropical-extratropical-interactions-ensemble-predictions-sub-seasonal-decadal-scales.pdf

Seasonal forecast ensembles: How confident are predictability estimates of the NAO?

Author

Antje Weisheimer

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17620-seasonal-forecast-ensembles-how-confident-are-predictability-estimates-nao.pdf

Ensemble size: how suboptimal is less than infinity?

Author

Martin Leutbecher

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17621-ensemble-size-how-suboptimal-less-infinity.pdf

Ensemble forecast products: supporting users’ decision making

Author

David Richardson

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17623-ensemble-forecast-products-supporting-users-decision-making.pdf

Hydrological ensemble prediction

Author

Hannah Cloke

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17624-hydrological-ensemble-prediction.pdf

Slowly but surely: Observing and supporting the growing use of ensemble products

Author

Renate Hagedorn

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17625-slowly-surely-observing-and-supporting-growing-use-ensemble-products.pdf

Ensemble verification metrics

Author

D. Hudson

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17626-ensemble-verification-metrics.pdf

Ensemble verification and extreme events

Author

C. Ferro

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17627-ensemble-verification-and-extreme-events.pdf

Diagnostics of ensemble data assimilation and ensemble forecasts

Author

Mark Rodwell

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17628-diagnostics-ensemble-data-assimilation-and-ensemble-forecasts.pdf

Diagnostic and verification of low-frequency phenomena

Author

Laura Ferranti

Frédéric Vitart

L. Magnusson

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17629-diagnostic-and-verification-low-frequency-phenomena.pdf

Very high-resolution, non-hydrostatic, short-range ensembles

Author

Inger-Lise Frogner

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17630-very-high-resolution-non-hydrostatic-short-range-ensembles.pdf

The Forecast Skill Horizon

Author

Roberto Buizza

Martin Leutbecher

Martin Janousek

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17631-forecast-skill-horizon.pdf

Ensembles for air quality and atmospheric composition prediction

Author

Angela Benedetti

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17632-ensembles-air-quality-and-atmospheric-composition-prediction.pdf

Ensembles for climate projections

Author

D. Sexton

2017, Presentation, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2017, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

17633-ensembles-climate-projections.pdf

What influences the middle atmosphere circulation in the IFS?

Author

I. Polichtchouk

T.G. Shepherd

S. Malardel

2017, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

17670-what-influences-middle-atmosphere-circulation-ifs.pdf

Modeling of nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium effects in the classical and principal component based version of the RTTOV fast radiative transfer model

Author

Marco Matricardi

López Puertas

B. Funke

2017, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

17672-modeling-nonlocal-thermodynamic-equilibrium-effects-classical-and-principal-component-based.pdf

Assessment of the forecast impact of suface-sensitive microwave radiances over land and sea-ice

Author

Niels Bormann

Cristina Lupu

Alan Geer

Heather Lawrence

P. Weston

Stephen English

2017, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

17674-assessment-forecast-impact-suface-sensitive-microwave-radiances-over-land-and-sea-ice.pdf

On the initialization of Tropical Cyclones

Author

Massimo Bonavita

Mohamed Dahoui

Philippe Lopez

F. Prates

Elias Hólm

Giovanna De Chiara

Alan Geer

L. Isaksen

B. Ingleby

2017, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

17677-initialization-tropical-cyclones.pdf

IFS Documentation CY43R3 - Part I : Observations

Author

ECMWF

2017, Book Chapter, IFS Documentation CY43R3, IFS Documentation

File

80884-ifs-documentation-cy43r3-part-i-observations.pdf

Effect of assimilating microwave imager observations in the presence of a model bias in marine stratocumulus

Author

Katrin Lonitz

Alan Geer

2017, Report, EUMETSAT/ECMWF Fellowship Programme Research Reports, EUMETSAT/ECMWF Fellowship Programme

File

17164-effect-assimilating-microwave-imager-observations-presence-model-bias-marine-stratocumuls.pdf

Highlights from the workshop on improving the socio-economic impact of NWP data

Author

ECMWF

2017, Conference Paper, Workshop on improving the socio-economic impact of NWP data

File

80021-highlights-workshop-improving-socio-economic-impact-nwp-data.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Ensemble model error at Météo-France

Uncertainty quantificatin in ocean models

Upscale and downscale error growth

Tropical-extratropical interactions in ensemble predictions from sub-seasonal to decadal scales

Seasonal forecast ensembles: How confident are predictability estimates of the NAO?

Ensemble size: how suboptimal is less than infinity?

Ensemble forecast products: supporting users’ decision making

Hydrological ensemble prediction

Slowly but surely: Observing and supporting the growing use of ensemble products

Ensemble verification metrics

Ensemble verification and extreme events

Diagnostics of ensemble data assimilation and ensemble forecasts

Diagnostic and verification of low-frequency phenomena

Very high-resolution, non-hydrostatic, short-range ensembles

The Forecast Skill Horizon

Ensembles for air quality and atmospheric composition prediction

Ensembles for climate projections

What influences the middle atmosphere circulation in the IFS?

Modeling of nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium effects in the classical and principal component based version of the RTTOV fast radiative transfer model

Assessment of the forecast impact of suface-sensitive microwave radiances over land and sea-ice

On the initialization of Tropical Cyclones

IFS Documentation CY43R3 - Part I : Observations

Effect of assimilating microwave imager observations in the presence of a model bias in marine stratocumulus

Highlights from the workshop on improving the socio-economic impact of NWP data

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