The Workshop on New Developments in Predictability was held from 13 to 15 November 1991.
Working groups
Proceedings
Local skill prediction with a simple model J Barkmeijer |
|
Predictability of an ocean/atmosphere model using adjoint model analysis M B Blumenthal |
|
Systematic and random error budgets G J Boer |
|
Seasonal integrations with realistic boundary forcing C Brankovic |
|
44-day ensemble forecasts with the T-42-L20 French spectral model M Deque |
|
Short-range skill prediction K Fraedrich |
|
Lagged average forecasts and Monte Carlo experimental forecasts at NMC E Kalnay |
|
30-day dynamical forecasts at the UK Meteorological Office S F Milton |
|
Predictability and finite-time instability of the Northern Winter Circulation F Molteni |
|
Ensemble predictions using dynamically-conditioned perturbations R Mureau |
|
Karl Popper and the accountability of numerical forecasting H Tennekes |
|
Low-frequency oscillations and weather regimes in the Northern Hemisphere R Vautard |
|
Direct prediction of error variances by the tangent linear model: a way to forecast uncertainty in the short range? P Veyre |
|
Forecasting forecast skill, probability forecasting and the plausibility of model produced flow H M van den Dool |