Workshop on New Developments in Predictability

The Workshop on New Developments in Predictability was held from 13 to 15 November 1991.

Working groups

PDF iconWorking group reports


Local skill prediction with a simple model

J Barkmeijer

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Predictability of an ocean/atmosphere model using adjoint model analysis

M B Blumenthal

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Systematic and random error budgets

G J Boer

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Seasonal integrations with realistic boundary forcing

C Brankovic

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44-day ensemble forecasts with the T-42-L20 French spectral model

M Deque

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Short-range skill prediction

K Fraedrich

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Lagged average forecasts and Monte Carlo experimental forecasts at NMC

E Kalnay

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30-day dynamical forecasts at the UK Meteorological Office

S F Milton

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Predictability and finite-time instability of the Northern Winter Circulation

F Molteni

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Ensemble predictions using dynamically-conditioned perturbations

R Mureau

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Karl Popper and the accountability of numerical forecasting

H Tennekes

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Low-frequency oscillations and weather regimes in the Northern Hemisphere

R Vautard

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Direct prediction of error variances by the tangent linear model: a way to forecast uncertainty in the short range?

P Veyre

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Forecasting forecast skill, probability forecasting and the plausibility of model produced flow

H M van den Dool

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