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Prediction and verification of extremes

Author

Petra Friederichs

2016, Presentation

File

16417-prediction-and-verification-extremes.pdf

The experience of Met Eireann (The Irish Meteorological Service) with a new storm naming system for Winter 2015 – 2016

Author

Gerard Murphy

2016, Presentation

File

16418-experience-met-eireann-irish-meteorological-service-new-storm-naming-system-winter-2015-2016.pdf

Going After High-Impact Compound Events: The Coastal-Alert-Risk (CoastAlRisk) Project of Joint Research Center

Author

Thomas Petroliagis

2016, Presentation

File

16419-going-after-high-impact-compound-events-coastal-alert-risk-coastalrisk-project-joint-research.pdf

Verification of Relative-Extreme Events

Author

Michael Sharpe

2016, Presentation

File

16420-verification-relative-extreme-events.pdf

Global Hazard Map evaluation: comparing forecast high-impact weather events against records of socio-economic impacts

Author

Joanne Robbins

2016, Presentation

File

16421-global-hazard-map-evaluation-comparing-forecast-high-impact-weather-events-against-records.pdf

Update on ECMWF forecast performance

Author

Thomas Haiden

2016, Presentation

File

16422-update-ecmwf-forecast-performance.pdf

Diagnostics of Numerical Weather Prediction, with particular focus on Ensemble Reliability

Author

Mark Rodwell

2016, Presentation

File

16423-diagnostics-numerical-weather-prediction-particular-focus-ensemble-reliability.pdf

Enhanced predictability during extreme winter flow patterns

Author

Ryan Maue

2016, Presentation

File

16424-enhanced-predictability-during-extreme-winter-flow-patterns.pdf

A simple method for seamless verification applied to precipitation hindcasts from two global models

Author

Matthew Wheeler

2016, Presentation

File

16425-simple-method-seamless-verification-applied-precipitation-hindcasts-two-global-models.pdf

Evaluation of Ensemble Streamflow Prediction Skill for the UK

Author

Shaun Harrigan

2016, Presentation

File

16426-evaluation-ensemble-streamflow-prediction-skill-uk.pdf

Sub-seasonal time scales: a user-oriented verification approach

Author

Laura Ferranti

2016, Presentation

File

16427-sub-seasonal-time-scales-user-oriented-verification-approach.pdf

Verification of precipitation and drought indices forecasts at subseasonal to seasonal time scales

Author

Christoph Spirig

2016, Presentation

File

uef2016spirig.pdf

User Oriented Verification

Author

Cristina Primo

2016, Presentation

File

16429-user-oriented-verification.pdf

Indirect verification of 100m winds through measurements of electric power in wind farms

Author

Jose-Luis Casado

2016, Presentation

File

16430-indirect-verification-100m-winds-through-measurements-electric-power-wind-farms.pdf

New scoring methods for sensible weather and extreme weather

Author

Nicole Girardot

2016, Presentation

File

16431-new-scoring-methods-sensible-weather-and-extreme-weather.pdf

Verification challenges in developing tropical cyclone response procedures based on ensemble guidance – an oil and gas industry perspective

Author

Grant Elliott

2016, Presentation

File

16432-verification-challenges-developing-tropical-cyclone-response-procedures-based-ensemble.pdf

Measuring the value of ensemble forecasts to renewable energy: so much more than the ensemble mean

Author

Isla Finney

2016, Presentation

File

16433-measuring-value-ensemble-forecasts-renewable-energy-so-much-more-ensemble-mean.pdf

A Review of Weather Conditions Affecting the UK during Winter 2015/16

Author

Dan Suri

2016, Presentation

File

16434-review-weather-conditions-affecting-uk-during-winter-201516.pdf

Overview of three high impact synoptic events in Iceland during the winter 2015-2016

Author

Elin Jonasdottir

2016, Presentation

File

16435-overview-three-high-impact-synoptic-events-iceland-during-winter-2015-2016.pdf

Status, experiences and recent activities with ECMWF products at the Croatian Met. Service

Author

Lovro Kalin

2016, Presentation

File

16436-status-experiences-and-recent-activities-ecmwf-products-croatian-met-service.pdf

Estimates of variations and trends of global surface temperature

Author

Adrian Simmons

P. Berrisford

Dick Dee

Hans Hersbach

S. Hirahara

Jean-Noël Thépaut

2016, Report, ERA Report Series, ERA Report

File

16437-estimates-variations-and-trends-global-surface-temperature.pdf

Ensemble of Data Assimilations applied to the CAMS' greenhouse gases analysis

Author

Sebastien Massart

Massimo Bonavita

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16438-ensemble-data-assimilations-applied-cams-greenhouse-gases-analysis.pdf

Evaluating UK storm frequency and ECMWF forecast accuracy of extreme wind events

Author

Bethany Jackson

2016, Presentation

File

16440-evaluating-uk-storm-frequency-and-ecmwf-forecast-accuracy-extreme-wind-events.pdf

An impact based warning system for 1-5 day weather warnings

Author

Elin Jonasdottir

2016, Presentation

File

16441-impact-based-warning-system-1-5-day-weather-warnings.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Prediction and verification of extremes

The experience of Met Eireann (The Irish Meteorological Service) with a new storm naming system for Winter 2015 – 2016

Going After High-Impact Compound Events: The Coastal-Alert-Risk (CoastAlRisk) Project of Joint Research Center

Verification of Relative-Extreme Events

Global Hazard Map evaluation: comparing forecast high-impact weather events against records of socio-economic impacts

Update on ECMWF forecast performance

Diagnostics of Numerical Weather Prediction, with particular focus on Ensemble Reliability

Enhanced predictability during extreme winter flow patterns

A simple method for seamless verification applied to precipitation hindcasts from two global models

Evaluation of Ensemble Streamflow Prediction Skill for the UK

Sub-seasonal time scales: a user-oriented verification approach

Verification of precipitation and drought indices forecasts at subseasonal to seasonal time scales

User Oriented Verification

Indirect verification of 100m winds through measurements of electric power in wind farms

New scoring methods for sensible weather and extreme weather

Verification challenges in developing tropical cyclone response procedures based on ensemble guidance – an oil and gas industry perspective

Measuring the value of ensemble forecasts to renewable energy: so much more than the ensemble mean

A Review of Weather Conditions Affecting the UK during Winter 2015/16

Overview of three high impact synoptic events in Iceland during the winter 2015-2016

Status, experiences and recent activities with ECMWF products at the Croatian Met. Service

Estimates of variations and trends of global surface temperature

Ensemble of Data Assimilations applied to the CAMS' greenhouse gases analysis

Evaluating UK storm frequency and ECMWF forecast accuracy of extreme wind events

An impact based warning system for 1-5 day weather warnings

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