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Use of BUFR radiosonde and surface observations at ECMWF (Poster)

Author

B. Ingleby

Enrico Fucile

Drasko Vasiljevic

Tomas Kral

L. Isaksen

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13790-use-bufr-radiosonde-and-surface-observations-ecmwf.pdf

Met Office seasonal predictions of the NAO, the driver of recent extreme UK winters (Poster)

Author

A. Scaife

A. Arribas

E.W. Blockley

A. Brookshaw

R. Clark

N. Dunstone

R. Eade

David Fereday

C.K. Folland

M. Gordon

L. Hermanson

J. Knight

D.J. Lea

C. MacLachlan

Anna Maidens

M.J. Martin

A. Peterson

D.M. Smith

M. Vellinga

E. Wallace

J. Waters

A. Williams

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13791-met-office-seasonal-predictions-nao-driver-recent-extreme-uk-winters-poster.pdf

Forecaster's added value with respect to NWP in Switzerland (Poster)

Author

D. Cattani

P. Eckert

Michel Matter

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13792-forecasters-added-value-respect-nwp-switzerland.pdf

Challenging weather forecasting projects at medium ranges and possibly at more extended ranges (Poster)

Author

Jean Nemeghaire

Fabian Debal

P Mailier

Bert Van Schaeybroeck

S. Vannitsem

Joris Van Den Bergh

Emmanuel Roulin

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13793-challenging-weather-forecasting-projects-medium-ranges-and-possibly-more-extended-ranges.pdf

The intense snowfall of 31 January - 2 February 2014 on the eastern Alps: a subjective and objective experience for a challenging forecast of the (weak) border between snowfall and rainfall (Poster)

Author

Arturo Pucillo

Sergio Nordio

Andrea Cicogna

Stefano Micheletti

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13794-intense-snowfall-31-january-2-february-2014-eastern-alps-subjective-and-objective-experience.pdf

We cannot escape probabilities (Poster)

Author

A Persson

2014, Poster

File

13795-we-cannot-escape-probabilities-poster.pdf

Investigation of the accuracy of extreme precipitation forecasting using different ECMWF model parameters (Poster)

Author

T. Radovic

N. Zivanovic

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13796-investigation-accuracy-extreme-precipitation-forecasting-using-different-ecmwf-model.pdf

Predicting the winstorm ' Christian' from 28 Oct 2013 (Poster)

Author

T. Schumann

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13797-predicting-winstorm-christian-28-oct-2013-poster.pdf

A case study for Unprecedented Storm in Turkey in 2012 (Poster)

Author

Levent Yalcin

Huseyin Ozalp

2014, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2014, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13798-case-study-unprecedented-storm-turkey-2012-poster.pdf

Representing atmospheric model uncertainties: Applications in seasonal forecasts with CNRM-CM

Author

Lauriane Batte

Michel Déqué

2016, Poster

File

17043-representing-atmospheric-model-uncertainties-applications-seasonal-forecasts-cnrm-cm.pdf

AEMET-&-SREPS: Convection-permitting EPS

Author

Alfons Pallarès

J.A. Garcia-Moya

M. Compte

P. Escriba

Carlos Santos

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17044-aemet-sreps-convection-permitting-eps.pdf

Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Author

Shuyi Chen

Hannah Christensen

Brandon Kerns

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17045-predictability-and-model-uncertainty-mjo-convection-and-propagation-ecmwf-ifs-stochastic.pdf

Model uncertainty in representing midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability: a spectral perspective

Author

Alessandro Dell’Aquila

Susanna Corti

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17046-model-uncertainty-representing-midlatitude-atmospheric-synoptic-variability-spectral.pdf

Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

Author

Pieter De Meutter

Johan Camps

Andy Delcloo

Piet Termonia

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17057-uncertainty-quantification-atmospheric-transport-and-dispersion-backtracking-using-ensemble.pdf

Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Author

Peter Düben

Tim Palmer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17059-model-uncertainty-quantification-using-ultra-efficient-inexact-hardware.pdf

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Author

N. Gagnon

P.L. Houtekamer

X.-X. Deng

A. Erfani

M. Charron

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17062-review-perturbation-methods-meteorological-service-canada-msc-global-ensemble-prediction.pdf

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Author

Christina Klasa

Heini Wernli

Andre Walser

Marco Arpagaus

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17071-case-study-based-evaluation-stochastic-physics-effects-high-resolution-ensemble-cosmo-e.pdf

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Author

Chih-Hsin Li

Jing-Shan Hong

Xing-Qin Fang

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17072-evaluation-skebs-impact-wrf-based-mesoscale-ensemble-prediction-system.pdf

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Author

Ekaterina Machulskaya

Richard Keane

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17073-representation-model-error-using-stochastic-equation-flow-dependent-spatial-and-temporal.pdf

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Author

Dave MacLeod

Hannah Cloke

Florian Pappenberger

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17074-perturbing-hydrology-parameters-seasonal-forecasts.pdf

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Author

Nigel Roberts

Seonaid Dey

Giovanni Leoncini

Robert Plant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Author

Tobias Selz

George Craig

Lotte Bierdel

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Use of BUFR radiosonde and surface observations at ECMWF (Poster)

Met Office seasonal predictions of the NAO, the driver of recent extreme UK winters (Poster)

Forecaster's added value with respect to NWP in Switzerland (Poster)

Challenging weather forecasting projects at medium ranges and possibly at more extended ranges (Poster)

The intense snowfall of 31 January - 2 February 2014 on the eastern Alps: a subjective and objective experience for a challenging forecast of the (weak) border between snowfall and rainfall (Poster)

We cannot escape probabilities (Poster)

Investigation of the accuracy of extreme precipitation forecasting using different ECMWF model parameters (Poster)

Predicting the winstorm ' Christian' from 28 Oct 2013 (Poster)

A case study for Unprecedented Storm in Turkey in 2012 (Poster)

Representing atmospheric model uncertainties: Applications in seasonal forecasts with CNRM-CM

AEMET-&-SREPS: Convection-permitting EPS

Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Model uncertainty in representing midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability: a spectral perspective

Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

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