Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Poster
Date Published
2016
Event
ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty
Author
Shuyi Chen
Hannah Christensen
Brandon Kerns
Abstract

The goals of this study are to:

  • better understand and predict MJO convective initiation and eastward propagation over the Indian-Pacific warm pool
  • better understand predictability and model uncertainty in the MJO forecasts
Keywords
workshop
model uncertainty
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