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ecCodes

Author

Daniel Varela

Shahram Najm

2017, Software

ecFlow

Author

Daniel Varela

Axel Bonet

2017, Software

Metview

Author

Iain Russell

Sandor Kertész

2017, Software

ECaccess

Author

Laurent Gougeon

2017, Software

Analysis of the extreme rainfall event in North China in 19-20 July 2016 and its forecast performance of ECMWF’s products

Author

F. Jiolan

2017, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2017, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

17289-analysis-extreme-rainfall-event-north-china-19-20-july-2016-and-its-forecast-performance.pdf

Stratus clouds in wintertime anticyclones in Hungary

Author

K. Kolláth

2017, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2017, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

17290-stratus-clouds-wintertime-anticyclones-hungary.pdf

Facing weather risks during The Floating Piers

Author

G. Minardi

2017, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2017, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

17291-facing-weather-risks-during-floating-piers.pdf

Combining high-resolution numerical weather predictions with human expertise for real-time, localized www and mobile app weather forecasts

Author

L. Moret

2017, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2017, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

17292-combining-high-resolution-numerical-weather-predictions-human-expertise-real-time-localized.pdf

The Windstorm „EGON“ – an example for a rapid cyclogenesis

Author

T. Schumann

2017, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2017, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

17293-windstorm-egon-example-rapid-cyclogenesis.pdf

Early spring thunderstorm development

Author

R. Penchev

2017, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2017, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

17294-early-spring-thunderstorm-development.pdf

Stationary severe thunderstorms over Malaga on 19 February 2017

Author

J. Rodriguez

2017, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2017, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

17319-stationary-severe-thunderstorms-over-malaga-19-february-2017.pdf

Representing atmospheric model uncertainties: Applications in seasonal forecasts with CNRM-CM

Author

Lauriane Batte

Michel Déqué

2016, Poster

File

17043-representing-atmospheric-model-uncertainties-applications-seasonal-forecasts-cnrm-cm.pdf

AEMET-&-SREPS: Convection-permitting EPS

Author

Alfons Pallarès

J.A. Garcia-Moya

M. Compte

P. Escriba

Carlos Santos

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17044-aemet-sreps-convection-permitting-eps.pdf

Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Author

Shuyi Chen

Hannah Christensen

Brandon Kerns

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17045-predictability-and-model-uncertainty-mjo-convection-and-propagation-ecmwf-ifs-stochastic.pdf

Model uncertainty in representing midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability: a spectral perspective

Author

Alessandro Dell’Aquila

Susanna Corti

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17046-model-uncertainty-representing-midlatitude-atmospheric-synoptic-variability-spectral.pdf

Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

Author

Pieter De Meutter

Johan Camps

Andy Delcloo

Piet Termonia

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17057-uncertainty-quantification-atmospheric-transport-and-dispersion-backtracking-using-ensemble.pdf

Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Author

Peter Düben

Tim Palmer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17059-model-uncertainty-quantification-using-ultra-efficient-inexact-hardware.pdf

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Author

N. Gagnon

P.L. Houtekamer

X.-X. Deng

A. Erfani

M. Charron

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17062-review-perturbation-methods-meteorological-service-canada-msc-global-ensemble-prediction.pdf

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Author

Christina Klasa

Heini Wernli

Andre Walser

Marco Arpagaus

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17071-case-study-based-evaluation-stochastic-physics-effects-high-resolution-ensemble-cosmo-e.pdf

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Author

Chih-Hsin Li

Jing-Shan Hong

Xing-Qin Fang

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17072-evaluation-skebs-impact-wrf-based-mesoscale-ensemble-prediction-system.pdf

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Author

Ekaterina Machulskaya

Richard Keane

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17073-representation-model-error-using-stochastic-equation-flow-dependent-spatial-and-temporal.pdf

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Author

Dave MacLeod

Hannah Cloke

Florian Pappenberger

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17074-perturbing-hydrology-parameters-seasonal-forecasts.pdf

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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ecCodes

ecFlow

Metview

ECaccess

Analysis of the extreme rainfall event in North China in 19-20 July 2016 and its forecast performance of ECMWF’s products

Stratus clouds in wintertime anticyclones in Hungary

Facing weather risks during The Floating Piers

Combining high-resolution numerical weather predictions with human expertise for real-time, localized www and mobile app weather forecasts

The Windstorm „EGON“ – an example for a rapid cyclogenesis

Early spring thunderstorm development

Stationary severe thunderstorms over Malaga on 19 February 2017

Representing atmospheric model uncertainties: Applications in seasonal forecasts with CNRM-CM

AEMET-&-SREPS: Convection-permitting EPS

Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Model uncertainty in representing midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability: a spectral perspective

Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

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