Linus Magnusson obtained his PhD from Stockholm University in 2009 and joined ECMWF shortly after. He started his work on ocean initialisation and ENSO forecasting in the Seasonal forecasting section where he also worked on sea-ice modelling. In 2011 he moved to the Ensemble forecasting section working on diagnostics and has now a similar job the Evaluation section. He is leading the model intercomparison collaboration DIMOSIC (https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0234.1). He is since 2023 a member of the scientific steering committee for the WMO World Weather Research Programme (WWRP). His research interests include severe weather evaluation, tropical cyclone forecasting, medium-range forecast error propagation and diagnostics for processes in the Arctic.
- Predictability
- The research focuses on understanding periods of low predictability in the extra-tropics. For such investigations several diagnostic tools are used, such as relaxation experiments that constrain the model inside a specified box. The methods are described in Magnusson (2017).
-
Leading the project DIMOSIC (DIfferent Models, Same Initial Conditions), where global medium-range forecast models are initialised from the same initial conditions to evaluate the role on model differences on forecast skill, biases and forecast uncertainties.
- Severe weather evaluation
- The research focuses on multi-scale aspects for prediction of severe weather and how to make best use of case studies (see ECMWF Technical Memorandum 851, plus ECMWF Newsletter articles about severe event cases 2014-2019 ). Activities include:
- Responsible for ECMWF Severe Event Catalogue: https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/FCST/Severe+Event+Catalogue
- Active in the WWRP/Hiweather project
- Involved in H2020 project CLINT on machine learning for climate services.
- Presentation at AMS General Assembly 2017
- The research focuses on multi-scale aspects for prediction of severe weather and how to make best use of case studies (see ECMWF Technical Memorandum 851, plus ECMWF Newsletter articles about severe event cases 2014-2019 ). Activities include:
- Tropical cyclones
- The research focuses on model sensitivity for tropical cyclone intensity forecasts. Recent publications includes ECMWF activities for improved hurricane forecasts (Magnusson et. al. ,2019 and ECMWF Technical Memorandum 888) and the effect on coupled modelling (Mogensen et al. 2017).
- Arctic processes
- Linus was involved in H2020 project APPLICATE, and contribute to the work on diagnostic tools for the Arctic and predictability studies.
2005 Master degree Uppsala University
2009 PhD degree Stockholm University
2009- ECMWF
- 2024
- Joshua Dorrington, Christian M. Grams, Federico Grazzini, Linus Magnusson, Frédéric Vitart, Marta Wenta (August 2024) Increasing lead time for early warnings through dynamically informed forecasting of extreme events and monitoring predictability barriers . DOI: 10.5194/ems2024-641
- Estíbaliz Gascón, Michael Maier-Gerber, Benoît Vannière, Birgit Sützl, Linus Magnusson, Irina Sandu (August 2024) Enhancing Extreme Weather Forecasts: Diagnostic Strategies in ECMWF's Destination Earth Initiative . DOI: 10.5194/ems2024-273
- Christian M. Grams, Annika Oertel, Julian F. Quinting, Linus Magnusson, Moritz Deinhard, Joshua Dorrington, Seraphine Hauser, Jan Wandel, Magdalena Balmaseda, Frédéric Vitart (August 2024) How synoptic weather activity and interaction with the extratropical wave guide matter for the prediction of blocking and associated extremes. DOI: 10.5194/ems2024-640
- Shraddha Gupta, Abhirup Banerjee, Norbert Marwan, David Richardson, Linus Magnusson, Jürgen Kurths, Florian Pappenberger (March 2024) Spatially coherent structure of forecast errors – A complex network approach. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12314
- Kirsten Maria FLORENTINE Weber, Linus Magnusson, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Margarita Choulga, Souhail Boussetta, Xabier Pedruzo Bagazgoitia, Gabriele Arduini (March 2024) Irrigation impact on thermodynamics in weather forecast modelling. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13419
- Zied Ben Bouallegue, Mihai Alexe, Matthew Chantry, Mariana Clare, Jesper Dramsch, Simon Lang, Christian Lessig, Linus Magnusson, Ana Prieto Nemesio, Florian Pinault, Baudouin Raoult, Steffen Tietsche (March 2024) AIFS – ECMWF’s Data-Driven Probabilistic Forecasting . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17158
- Joshua Dorrington, Marta Wenta, Federico Grazzini, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart, Christian Grams (March 2024) Precursors and pathways: Dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-415
- Joshua Dorrington, Marta Wenta, Federico Grazzini, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart, Christian Grams (March 2024) Supplementary material to "Precursors and pathways: Dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood". DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-415-supplement
- Joshua Dorrington, Christian Grams, Federico Grazzini, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart (January 2024) Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4622
- Luise Schulte, Linus Magnusson, Richard Forbes, Jonathan Day, Vera Schemann, Susanne Crewell (March 2024) Representation of Arctic mixed-phase clouds in the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System during MOSAiC. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20507
- R. Emerton, K. I. Hodges, E. Stephens, V. Amelie, M. Mustafa, Z. Rakotomavo, E. Coughlan de Perez, L. Magnusson, P.‐L. Vidale (May 2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean?, Meteorological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/met.2195
- Q. A. Lawton, R. Rios‐Berrios, S. J. Majumdar, R. Emerton, L. Magnusson (June 2024) The Representation of Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves in Simulations With Modified Wave Amplitudes, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. DOI: 10.1029/2023MS004187
- Meriem Krouma, Damien Specq, Linus Magnusson, Constantin Ardilouze, Lauriane Batté, Pascal Yiou (July 2024) Improving subseasonal forecast of precipitation in Europe by combining a stochastic weather generator with dynamical models, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4733
- Federico Grazzini, Joshua Dorrington, Christian M. Grams, George C. Craig, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart (July 2024) Improving forecasts of precipitation extremes over northern and central Italy using machine learning, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4755
- Joshua Dorrington, Marta Wenta, Federico Grazzini, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart, Christian M. Grams (September 2024) Precursors and pathways: dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-2995-2024
- 2023
- Andrea Ficchì, Guido Ascenso, Matteo Giuliani, Enrico Scoccimarro, Linus Magnusson, Rebecca Emerton, Elisabeth Stephens, Andrea Castelletti (May 2023) Machine-learning enhanced forecast of tropical cyclone rainfall for anticipatory humanitarian action. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-15188
- Meriem Krouma, Lauriane Batté, Linus Magnusson, Damien Specq, Constantin Ardilouze, Pascal Yiou (May 2023) Improving the ensemble forecast of precipitation in Europe by combining a stochastic weather generator with dynamical models . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-1777
- Estíbaliz Gascón, Michael Maier-Gerber, Benoît Vannière, Sandu Irina, Linus Magnusson, Kristian Mogensen (July 2023) Towards a kilometre-scale Earth System Model to better predict extreme weather events: insights from the Destination Earth initiative's case studies.. DOI: 10.5194/ems2023-66
- Estíbaliz Gascón, Irina Sandu, Benoît Vannière, Linus Magnusson, Richard Forbes, Inna Polichtchouk, Annelize Van Niekerk, Birgit Sützl, Michael Maier-Gerber, Michail Diamantakis, Peter Bechtold, Gianpaolo Balsamo (July 2023) Advances towards a better prediction of weather extremes in the Destination Earth initiative . DOI: 10.5194/ems2023-659
- Shraddha Gupta, Abhirup Banerjee, Norbert Marwan, David Richardson, Linus Magnusson, Jürgen Kurths, Florian Pappenberger (October 2023) Analysis of spatially coherent forecast error structures, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4536
- 2022
- Nikolaos Mastrantonas, Linus Magnusson, Florian Pappenberger, Jörg Matschullat (January 2022) What do large‐scale patterns teach us about extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean at medium‐ and extended‐range forecasts?, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4236
- Frederic Vitart, Rebecca Emerton, Mark John Rodwell, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Thomas Haiden, Stephanie Johnson, Linus Magnusson, Chris Roberts, irina sandu (January 2022) Investigating biases in the representation of the Pacific sub-tropical jet stream and associated teleconnections (a UGROW sub-project), ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 889. DOI: 10.21957/jcfqpdr2
- Jonathan Day, Sarah Keeley, Gabriele Arduini, Linus Magnusson, Kristian Mogensen, Mark Rodwell, Irina Sandu, Steffen Tietsche (January 2022) Benefits and challenges of dynamic sea-ice for weather forecasts. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2022-5
- Jonathan J. Day, Sarah Keeley, Gabriele Arduini, Linus Magnusson, Kristian Mogensen, Mark Rodwell, Irina Sandu, Steffen Tietsche (July 2022) Benefits and challenges of dynamic sea ice for weather forecasts, Weather and Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-3-713-2022
- Xinjia Hu, Damien Decremer, Laura Ferranti, Linus Magnusson, Daoyi Gong, Florian Pappenberger, Holger Kantz (March 2022) The influence of ENSO and Antarctic Oscillation on extreme precipitation over southeastern South America. . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3127
- Niclas Rieger, Álvaro Corral, Estrella Olmedo, Linus Magnusson, Laura Ferranti, Florian Pappenberger, Antonio Turiel (March 2022) Identifying relevant large-scale predictors for sub-seasonal precipitation forecast using explainable neural networks. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7530
- Beatriz M. Monge-Sanz, Alessio Bozzo, Nicholas Byrne, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Michail Diamantakis, Johannes Flemming, Lesley J. Gray, Robin J. Hogan, Luke Jones, Linus Magnusson, Inna Polichtchouk, Theodore G. Shepherd, Nils Wedi, Antje Weisheimer (April 2022) A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth system models: performance, impacts and future, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics n. 7, pp. 4277-4302. DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-4277-2022
- Jan-Huey Chen, Linjiong Zhou, Linus Magnusson, Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Martin Köhler (December 2022) Tropical Cyclone Forecasts in the DIMOSIC Project -- Medium-Range Forecast Models with Common Initial Conditions. DOI: 10.22541/essoar.167117637.70052927/v1
- Luca Furnari, Linus Magnusson, Giuseppe Mendicino, Alfonso Senatore (February 2022) Fully coupled high‐resolution medium‐range forecasts: Evaluation of the hydrometeorological impact in an ensemble framework, Hydrological Processes. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.14503
- Annika Oertel, Moritz Pickl, Julian F. Quinting, Seraphine Hauser, Jan Wandel, Linus Magnusson, Magdalena Balmaseda, Frederic Vitart, Christian M. Grams (June 2022) How warm conveyor belt activity across the North Pacific influenced the predictability of the North American heat wave 2021. DOI: 10.5194/ems2022-227
- Niclas Rieger, Estrella Olmedo, Álvaro Corral, Linus Magnusson, Laura Ferranti, Antonio Turiel (June 2022) Identifying relevant large-scale predictors for sub-seasonal precipitation forecast using explainable neural networks. DOI: 10.5194/ems2022-110
- Joshua Dorrington, Christian Grams, Federico Grazzini, Laura Ferranti, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart (June 2022) A tool to identify large-scale dynamical precursors to European extreme precipitation. DOI: 10.5194/ems2022-220
- Nikolaos Mastrantonas, Luca Furnari, Linus Magnusson, Alfonso Senatore, Giuseppe Mendicino, Florian Pappenberger, Jörg Matschullat (June 2022) Forecasting extreme precipitation in the central Mediterranean: Different products for different timescales. DOI: 10.5194/ems2022-356
- Beatriz Monge-Sanz, Alessio Bozzo, Nicholas Byrne, Martyn Chipperfield, Michail Diamantakis, Johannes Flemming, Lesley Gray, Robin Hogan, Luke Jones, Linus Magnusson, Inna Polichtchouk, Theodore Shepherd, Nils Wedi, Antje Weisheimer (March 2022) Stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System Models. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12148
- Jonathan Day, Sarah Keeley, Gabriele Arduini, Linus Magnusson, Kristian Mogensen, Mark Rodwell, Irina Sandu, Steffen Tietsche (January 2022) Supplementary material to "Benefits and challenges of dynamic sea-ice for weather forecasts". DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2022-5-supplement
- Nikolaos Mastrantonas, Luca Furnari, Linus Magnusson, Alfonso Senatore, Giuseppe Mendicino, Florian Pappenberger, Jörg Matschullat (November 2022) Forecasting extreme precipitation in the central Mediterranean: Changes in predictors' strength with prediction lead time, Meteorological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/met.2101
- Kamilya Yessimbet, Albert Ossó, Rainer Kaltenberger, Linus Magnusson, Andrea K. Steiner (January 2022) Heavy Alpine snowfall in January 2019 connected to atmospheric blocking, Weather. DOI: 10.1002/wea.4020
- 2021
- Dominik Büeler, Laura Ferranti, Linus Magnusson, Julian F. Quinting, Christian M. Grams (October 2021) Year‐round sub‐seasonal forecast skill for Atlantic–European weather regimes, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 741, pp. 4283-4309. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4178
- Nikolaos Mastrantonas, Linus Magnusson, Florian Pappenberger, Jörg Matschullat (March 2021) Predictability of large-scale atmospheric flow patterns connected to extreme precipitation events in the Mediterranean. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-9931
- Matilda Hallerstig, Linus Magnusson, Erik W. Kolstad, Stephanie Mayer (January 2021) How grid‐spacing and convection representation affected the wind speed forecasts of four polar lows, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3911
- Michael Tjernström, Gunilla Svensson, Linus Magnusson, Ian M. Brooks, John Prytherch, Jutta Vüllers, Gillian Young (January 2021) Central Arctic weather forecasting: Confronting the ECMWF IFS with observations from the Arctic Ocean 2018 expedition, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3971
- Beatriz M. Monge-Sanz, Alessio Bozzo, Nicholas Byrne, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Michail Diamantakis, Johannes Flemming, Lesley J. Gray, Robin J. Hogan, Luke Jones, Linus Magnusson, Inna Polichtchouk, Theodore G. Shepherd, Nils Wedi, Antje Weisheimer (January 2021) A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System Models: performance, impacts and future. DOI: 10.5194/acp-2020-1261
- Nikolaos Mastrantonas, Pedro Herrera‐Lormendez, Linus Magnusson, Florian Pappenberger, Jörg Matschullat (March 2021) Extreme precipitation events in the Mediterranean: Spatiotemporal characteristics and connection to large‐scale atmospheric flow patterns, International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6985
- Jonathan Day, Sarah Keeley, Kristian Mogensen, Steffen Tietsche, Linus Magnusson (March 2021) Benefits of ice-ocean coupling for medium-range forecasts in polar and sub-polar regions. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-8054
- Luca Furnari, Linus Magnusson, Giuseppe Mendicino, Alfonso Senatore (March 2021) Impact of the atmospheric-hydrological fully coupled approach in a high-resolution medium-range forecasts: a case study in the Mediterranean. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-10883
- 2020
- Matilda Hallerstig, Linus Magnusson, Erik Kolstad (March 2020) Convection is key to better polar low forecasts. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-10163
- Luca Furnari, Alfonso Senatore, Linus Magnusson, Giuseppe Mendicino (March 2020) Developing an operational high-resolution hydrometeorological system in a Mediterranean region: predictability analysis of two case studies. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-14140
- Frederico Johannsen, Emanuel Dutra, Linus Magnusson (March 2020) Evaluation of systematic biases and skill of summer subseasonal forecasts in the ECMWF system. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-21676
- Jonathan Day, Gabriele Arduini, Irina Sandu, Linus Magnusson, Anton Beljaars, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Mark Rodwell, David Richardson (May 2020) Measuring the impact of a new snow model using surface energy budget process relationships. DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10502951.1
- irina sandu, Thomas Haiden, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Polly Schmederer, Gabriele Arduini, Jonathan Day, Anton Beljaars, Zied Ben Bouallègue, Souhail Boussetta, Martin Leutbecher, Linus Magnusson, Patricia de Rosnay (November 2020) Addressing near-surface forecast biases: outcomes of the ECMWF project 'Understanding uncertainties in surface atmosphere exchange' (USURF), ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 875. DOI: 10.21957/wxjwsojvf
- Iain Russell, Linus Magnusson, Martin Janousek, Sandor Kertész (January 2020) Metview’s Python interface opens new possibilities, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 162, pp. 36-39. DOI: 10.21957/hv3sp41ir5
- Jonathan Day, Gabriele Arduini, Linus Magnusson, Irina Sandu, Anton Beljaars, David Richardson (March 2020) Measuring model improvement using surface energy budget process relationships: the impact of a new snow model. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-5763
- Nikolaos Mastrantonas, Linus Magnusson, Florian Pappenberger, Jörg Matschullat (March 2020) Extreme precipitation events in the Mediterranean region: their characteristics and connection to large-scale atmospheric patterns. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8593
- 2019
- Tjernström M., G. Svensson, Linus Magnusson (July 2019) Arctic weather forecasting – in the high Arctic, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 160, pp. 29-33. DOI: 10.21957/b8mt2wsz53
- (October 2019) ECMWF activities for improved hurricane forecasts, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
- (October 2019) Advancements in Hurricane Prediction With NOAA's Next-Generation Forecast System, Geophysical Research Letters.
- (October 2019) Convectively Coupled Equatorial Wave Simulations Using the ECMWF IFS and the NOAA GFS Cumulus Convection Schemes in the NOAA GFS Model, Monthly Weather Review.
- (October 2019) Increased Arctic influence on the midlatitude flow during Scandinavian Blocking episodes, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- (October 2019) Current and potential use of ensemble forecasts in operational TC forecasting: results from a global forecaster survey, Tropical Cyclone Research and Review.
- (October 2019) Advances in understanding difficult cases of tropical cyclone track forecasts, Tropical Cyclone Research and Review.
- (October 2019) Cross-scale modeling of storm surge, tide, and inundation in Mid-Atlantic Bight and New York City during Hurricane Sandy, 2012, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science.
- (October 2019) Monitoring trends in ensemble forecast performance focusing on surface variables and high-impact events, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- (October 2019) The October 29, 2018 storm in Northern Italy--An exceptional event and its modeling, Progress in Oceanography.
- (October 2019) SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system, Geoscientific Model Development.
- (October 2019) What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
- (October 2019) An Assessment of the Use of Observations in the Arctic at ECMWF.
- (October 2019) Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone landfall using ECMWF’s System 4, Weather and Forecasting.
- Jonathan J. Day, Irina Sandu, Linus Magnusson, Mark J. Rodwell, Heather Lawrence, Niels Bormann, Thomas Jung (October 2019) Increased Arctic influence on the midlatitude flow during Scandinavian Blocking episodes, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3673
- Laura Ferranti, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart, David Richardson (January 2019) A new product to flag up the risk of cold spells in Europe weeks ahead, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 158, pp. 15-20. DOI: 10.21957/k2rlf88oe1
- Heather Lawrence, Jacky Goddard, irina sandu, Niels Bormann, Peter Bauer, Linus Magnusson (April 2019) An Assessment of the use of observations in the Arctic at ECMWF, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 845. DOI: 10.21957/exlwb4o04
- Linus Magnusson, Jan‐Huey Chen, Shian‐Jiann Lin, Linjiong Zhou, Xi Chen (May 2019) Dependence on initial conditions versus model formulations for medium‐range forecast error variations, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3545
- Zied Ben Bouallègue, Linus Magnusson, Thomas Haiden, David S. Richardson (March 2019) Monitoring trends in ensemble forecast performance focusing on surface variables and high‐impact events, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3523
- Linus Magnusson (October 2019) ECMWF Severe Event Catalogue for Evaluation of Multi-scale Prediction of Extreme Weather, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 851. DOI: 10.21957/i2pbf6pe
- 2018
- (October 2018) The North Atlantic waveguide and downstream impact experiment, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
- (October 2018) TROPICAL CYCLONES IN GFDL FVGFS--IMPACTS OF DYCORE, PHYSICS, AND INITIAL CONDITIONS, 33rd Conference on Hurricane and Tropical Meteorology, Ponte Vedra, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc. URL https://ams. confex. com/ams/33HURRICANE/webprogram/Paper339827. html.
- (October 2018) An atmospheric dynamics perspective on the amplification and propagation of forecast error in numerical weather prediction models: A case study, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- (October 2018) The development and evaluation process followed at ECMWF to upgrade the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS).
- (October 2018) The 2013/14 Thames Basin Floods: Do Improved Meteorological Forecasts Lead to More Skillful Hydrological Forecasts at Seasonal Time Scales?, Journal of Hydrometeorology.
- (October 2018) How far in advance can we predict changes in large-scale flow leading to severe cold conditions over Europe?, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- Timothy Stockdale, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Stephanie Johnson, Laura Ferranti, Franco Molteni, Linus Magnusson, Steffen Tietsche, Frederic Vitart, Damien Decremer, Antje Weisheimer, Chris Roberts, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Sarah Keeley, Kristian S. Mogensen, Hao Zuo, Michael Mayer, B.M. Monge-Sanz (November 2018) SEAS5 and the future evolution of the long-range forecast system, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 835. DOI: 10.21957/z3e92di7y
- Buizza R., Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Andrew Brown, S.J. English, Richard Forbes, Alan Geer, Haiden T., Martin Leutbecher, Linus Magnusson, Mark John Rodwell, M. Sleigh, Timothy Stockdale, Frederic Vitart, Wedi N. (October 2018) The development and evaluation process followed at ECMWF to upgrade the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 829. DOI: 10.21957/xzopnhty9
- 2017
- D.L. Bergman, Linus Magnusson, J. Nilsson, Frederic Vitart (October 2017) Forecasting tropical cyclone landfall using ECMWF's seasonal forecasts from System 4, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 811. DOI: 10.21957/lg4nj4d1o
- K.S. Mogensen, Linus Magnusson, Jean Bidlot (October 2017) Tropical Cyclone Sensitivity to Ocean Coupling, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 794. DOI: 10.21957/dha6hjg4f
- I. Polichtchouk, Robin Hogan, T.G. Shepherd, Peter Bechtold, Timothy Stockdale, S. Malardel, Sarah-Jane Lock, Linus Magnusson (October 2017) What influences the middle atmosphere circulation in the IFS?, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 809. DOI: 10.21957/mfsnfv15o
- Linus Magnusson (October 2017) Diagnostic methods for understanding the origin of forecast errors, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 796. DOI: 10.21957/v3z8tw3ge
- (October 2017) Tropical cyclone sensitivity to ocean coupling in the ECMWF coupled model, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans.
- (October 2017) Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- (October 2017) Forecasting tropical cyclone landfall using ECMWF’s seasonal forecasts from System 4, October 2017.
- (October 2017) What influences the middle atmosphere circulation in the ifs?.
- (October 2017) Scale-dependent estimates of the growth of forecast uncertainties in a global prediction system, Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography.
- (October 2017) Diagnostic methods for understanding the origin of forecast errors, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- 2016
- (October 2016) Aspects of ECMWF model performance in polar areas, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- (October 2016) Diagnosis of the source and evolution of medium-range forecast errors for extratropical cyclone Joachim, Weather and Forecasting.
- (October 2016) Sensitivity of the ECMWF model to semi-Lagrangian departure point iterations, Monthly Weather Review.
- 2015
- (October 2015) Numerical sensitivity of the ECMWF model to Semi-Lagrangian departure point iterations.
- (October 2015) Diagnosis of northern hemispheric regime behaviour during winter 2013/14.
- (October 2015) Global distribution of the skill of tropical cyclone activity forecasts on short-to medium-range time scales, Weather and Forecasting.
- (October 2015) New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts.
- Mark John Rodwell, Laura Ferranti, Thomas Haiden, Linus Magnusson (October 2015) New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 759. DOI: 10.21957/36b0t3mke
- Mark John Rodwell, Laura Ferranti, Linus Magnusson (October 2015) Diagnosis of northern hemispheric regime behaviour during winter 2013/14, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 769. DOI: 10.21957/nec47hhk9