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Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Author

Ekaterina Machulskaya

Richard Keane

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17073-representation-model-error-using-stochastic-equation-flow-dependent-spatial-and-temporal.pdf

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Author

Dave MacLeod

Hannah Cloke

Florian Pappenberger

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17074-perturbing-hydrology-parameters-seasonal-forecasts.pdf

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Author

Nigel Roberts

Seonaid Dey

Giovanni Leoncini

Robert Plant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Author

Tobias Selz

George Craig

Lotte Bierdel

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

NWP-driven fire danger forecasting for Copernicus

Author

Francesca Di Giuseppe

Florian Pappenberger

Fredrik Wetterhall

Blazej Krzeminski

J. San-Miguel-Ayanz

A. Camia

G. Libertà

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17204-nwp-driven-fire-danger-forecasting-copernicus.pdf

Diagnosing model performance in the tropics

Author

N. Žagar

M. Blaauw

B. Jesenko

L. Magnusson

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17205-diagnosing-model-performance-tropics.pdf

Use of high-density observations in precipitation verification

Author

Thomas Haiden

S. Duffy

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17251-use-high-density-observations-precipitation-verification.pdf

New model cycle brings higher resolution

Author

Elias Hólm

Richard Forbes

Simon Lang

L. Magnusson

S. Malardel

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17252-new-model-cycle-brings-higher-resolution.pdf

Reducing systematic errors in cold-air outbreaks

Author

Richard Forbes

Alan Geer

Katrin Lonitz

Maike Ahlgrimm

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17261-reducing-systematic-errors-cold-air-outbreaks.pdf

A new grid for the IFS

Author

S. Malardel

Nils Wedi

Willem Deconinck

Michail Diamantakis

Christian Kuehnlein

G. Mozdzynski

M. Hamrud

Piotr Smolarkiewicz

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17262-new-grid-ifs.pdf

ECMWF’s new data decoding software ecCodes

Author

Enrico Fucile

Sandor Kertész

S. Lamy-Thépaut

Shahram Najm

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17264-ecmwfs-new-data-decoding-software-eccodes.pdf

Using ensemble data assimilation to diagnose flow-dependent forecast reliability

Author

Mark Rodwell

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17263-using-ensemble-data-assimilation-diagnose.pdf

An adaptive additive inflation scheme for ensemble Kalman filters

Author

Matthias Sommer

Tijana Janjic

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16300-addaptive-additive-inflation-scheme-ensemble-kalman-filters.pdf

Impacts of a spatially varying random parameterscheme on cloud cover in MOGREPS

Author

Warren Tennant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16301-impacts-spatially-varying-random-parameterscheme-cloud-cover-mogreps.pdf

Development of Taiwan Central Weather Bureau Global Ensemble Prediction System for Typhoon-track

Author

John Tseng

Jen-Her Chen

Deng-Shun Chen

Daryl Kleist

Wen-Mei Chen

Young-Sin Lai

Shu-Chih Yang

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16302-development-taiwan-central-weather-bureau-global-ensemble-prediction-system-typhoon-track.pdf

Impacts of stochastic physics on tropical variability in models

Author

Peter Watson

Antje Weisheimer

Tim Palmer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16303-impacts-stochastic-physics-tropical-variability-models.pdf

Stochastic multi-scale modeling for weather and climate prediction

Author

Aneesh Subramanian

Tim Palmer

Marat Khairoutdinov

Frédéric Vitart

Peter Bechtold

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

16320-workshop-model-uncertainty-poster-aneesh-subramanian.pdf

Single-precision IFS

Author

Filip Vána

Deborah Salmond

Tim Palmer

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18036-single-precision-ifs.pdf

Hungary’s use of ECMWF ensemble boundary conditions

Author

Mihály Szűcs

Panna Sepsi

André Simon

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18037-hungarys-use-ecmwf-ensemble-boundary-conditions.pdf

'L'alluvione di Firenze del 1966': an ensemble-based re-forecasting study

Author

Valerio Capecchi

Simon Lang

Roberto Buizza

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18038-lalluvione-di-firenze-del-1966-ensemble-based-re-forecasting-study.pdf

What conditions led to the Draupner freak wave?

Author

Jean-Raymond Bidlot

Luigi Cavaleri

Luciana Bertotti

Francesco Barbariol

Alvise Benetazzo

Peter Janssen

Nils Wedi

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18039-what-conditions-led-draupner-freak-wave.pdf

The use of radar altimeter products at ECMWF

Author

Saleh Abdalla

Hao Zuo

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF newsletter

File

18145-use-radar-altimeter-products-ecmwf.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

NWP-driven fire danger forecasting for Copernicus

Diagnosing model performance in the tropics

Use of high-density observations in precipitation verification

New model cycle brings higher resolution

Reducing systematic errors in cold-air outbreaks

A new grid for the IFS

ECMWF’s new data decoding software ecCodes

Using ensemble data assimilation to diagnose flow-dependent forecast reliability

An adaptive additive inflation scheme for ensemble Kalman filters

Impacts of a spatially varying random parameterscheme on cloud cover in MOGREPS

Development of Taiwan Central Weather Bureau Global Ensemble Prediction System for Typhoon-track

Impacts of stochastic physics on tropical variability in models

Stochastic multi-scale modeling for weather and climate prediction

Single-precision IFS

Hungary’s use of ECMWF ensemble boundary conditions

'L'alluvione di Firenze del 1966': an ensemble-based re-forecasting study

What conditions led to the Draupner freak wave?

The use of radar altimeter products at ECMWF

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