Thomas Haiden

Principal Scientist
Forecast Department, Evaluation Section, Verification and Observation Monitoring

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Profile
Summary: 

Thomas leads the verification and observation monitoring team at ECMWF. He provides regular updates and analyses on the performance of ECMWF's forecasting system and investigates forecast issues in particular related to surface weather. Thomas also explores new verification methods and metrics. He is a member of the WMO Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research.

Professional interests: 
  • Predictability of clouds and precipitation
  • Boundary-layer meteorology
  • Verification methodology
  • Mountain meteorology
  • Forecast skill in the Arctic
Career background: 
  • Principal Scientist and Team Leader, Forecast Department, ECMWF (2013-present)
  • Consultant, Operations Department, ECMWF (2010-2012)
  • Staff Scientist, Head of Forecast Model Department, ZAMG (2009)
  • Staff Scientist, Head of NWP Group, ZAMG (1996-2008)
  • Visiting Scientist, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO (1999-2000)
  • Visiting Scientist, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO (1995-1996)
  • Ph.D. Meteorology, University of Vienna (1990). Thesis on the convective boundary-layer in mountainous terrain.
External recognitions: 
  • YOPP Verification Task Team (2016-present)
  • IASOA Transport Working Group (2016-present)
  • IASOA Radiation Working Group (2015-2017)
  • WMO WWRP JWGFVR member (2014-present)
  • WMO CBS Task Team Leader (2013-present)
  • WMO WWRP Working Group on Nowcasting (2011-2012)
  • ICAM Steering Committee (2009-present)
Publications

Peer-reviewed

  • Leutbecher, M., S.-J. Lock, P. Ollinaho, S. T. K. Lang, G. Balsamo, P. Bechtold, M. Bonavita, H. M. Christensen, M. Diamantakis, E. Dutra, S. English, M. Fisher, R. M. Forbes, J. Goddard, T. Haiden, R. J. Hogan, S. Juricke, H. Lawrence, D. McLeod, L. Magnusson, S. Malardel, S. Massart, I. Sandu, P. K. Smolarkiewicz, A. Subramanian, F. Vitart, N. Wedi, and A. Weisheimer, 2017: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties at ECMWF: State of the art and future vision. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 143, . DOI: 10.1002/qj.3094.
  • Ollinaho, P., S.-J. Lock, M. Leutbecher, P. Bechtold, A. Beljaars, A. Bozzo, R. M. Forbes, T. Haiden, R. J. Hogan, and I. Sandu, 2016: Towards process-level representation of model uncertainties: Stochastically perturbed parametrisations in the ECMWF ensemble. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 142, . DOI: 10.1002/qj.2931.
  • Uttal, T., and Co-Authors, 2016: International Arctic Systems for Observing the Atmosphere: An International Polar Year legacy consortium. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 97, 1033-1056.
  • Olefs, M., D. J. Baumgartner, F. Obleitner, C. Bichler, U. Foelsche, H. Pietsch, H. E. Rieder, P. Weihs, F. Geyer, T. Haiden, and W. Schöner, 2016: The Austrian radiation monitoring network ARAD – best practice and added value. Atmos. Meas. Tech., 9, 1513-1531.
  • Hemri, S., T. Haiden, and F. Pappenberger, 2016: Discrete post-processing of total cloud cover ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2565-2577.
  • Remy, S., A. Benedetti, T. Haiden, L. Jones, M. Razinger, R. J. Engelen, V. H. Peuch, and J. N. Thepaut, 2015: Feedbacks of dust and boundary layer meteorology during a dust storm in the Eastern Mediterranean. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 12909-12933.
  • Albergel, C., E. Dutra, J. Muñoz Sabater, T. Haiden, G. Balsamo, A. Beljaars, L. Isaksen, P. de Rosnay, I. Sandu, and N. Wedi, 2015: Soil temperature at ECMWF: an assessment using ground based observations. J. Geophys. Res., 120, DOI: 10.1002/2014JD022505.
  • Haiden, T., and J. Trentmann, 2015: Verification of cloudiness and radiation forecasts in the greater Alpine region. Meteorol. Z., 24, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0630.
  • Hemri, S., M. Scheuerer, F. Pappenberger, K. Bogner, and T. Haiden, 2014: Trends in the predictive performance of raw ensemble weather forecasts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 9197-9205.
  • Alfieri, L., F. Pappenberger, F. Wetterhall, T. Haiden, D. Richardson, and P. Salamon, 2014: Evaluation of ensemble streamflow predictions in Europe. J. Hydrol., 517, 913-922.
  • Haiden, T., A. Kann, and G. Pistotnik, 2014: Nowcasting with INCA during SNOW-V10. Pure Appl. Geophys., 171, 231-242.
  • Isaac, G. A., P. I. Joe, J. Mailhot, M. Bailey, S. Belair, F. S. Boudala, M. Brugman, E. Campos, R. L. Carpenter Jr., R. W. Crawford, S. G. Cober, B. Denis, C. Doyle, H. D. Reeves, I. Gultepe, T. Haiden, I. Heckman, L. X. Huang, J. A. Milbrandt, R. Mo, R. M. Rasmussen, T. Smith, R. E. Stewart, D. Wang, and L. J. Wilson, 2014: Science of Nowcasting Olympic Weather for Vancouver 2010 (SNOW-V10): a World Weather Research Programme Project. Pure Appl. Geophys., 171, 1-24.
  • Herrnegger, M., H.-P. Nachtnebel, and T. Haiden, 2012: Evapotranspiration in high alpine catchments – an important part of the water balance. Hydrol. Res., 43, 460-475.
  • Whiteman, C. D., T. Haiden, B. Pospichal, S. Eisenbach, and R. Steinacker, 2012: Corrigendum. J. Appl. Meteor., 51, 1575-1576.
  • Haiden, T., M. J. Rodwell, D. S. Richardson, A. Okagaki, T. Robinson, and T. Hewson, 2012: Intercomparison of global model precipitation forecast skill in 2010/11 using the SEEPS score. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2720-2733.
  • Kann, A., T. Haiden, and C. Wittmann, 2011: Combining 2-m temperature nowcasting and short range ensemble forecasting, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 18, 903-910.
  • Kann, A., T. Haiden, K. Emde, C. Gruber, T. Kabas, A. Leuprecht, and G. Kirchengast, 2011: Verification of operational analyses using an extremely high-density surface station network. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 572-578.
  • Haiden, T., C. D. Whiteman, S. Hoch, and M. Lehner, 2011: A mass-flux model of nocturnal cold air intrusions into a closed basin. J. Appl. Meteor., 50, 933-943.
  • Haiden, T., A. Kann, C. Wittmann, G. Pistotnik, B. Bica, and C. Gruber, 2011: The Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive Analysis (INCA) system and its validation over the Eastern Alpine region. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 166-183.
  • Whiteman, C. D., S. Hoch, M. Lehner, and T. Haiden, 2010: Nocturnal cold air intrusions into a closed basin: Observational evidence and conceptual model. J. Appl. Meteor., 49, 1894-1905.
  • Rodwell, M. J., D. S. Richardson, T. D. Hewson, and T. Haiden, 2010: A new equitable score suitable for verifying precipitation in NWP. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 136, 1344-1363.
  • Wittmann, C., Haiden, T., and A. Kann, 2010: Evaluating multi-scale precipitation forecasts using high resolution analysis. Adv. Sci. Res., 4, 89-98.
  • Kann, A., H. Seidl, C. Wittmann, and T. Haiden, 2010: Advances in predicting continental low stratus with a regional NWP model. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 290-302.

Other

  • Buizza R., P. Bechtold, M. Bonavita, N. Bormann, A. Bozzo, T. Haiden, R. Hogan, E. Holm, G. Radnoti, D. Richardson, and M. Sleigh, 2017: IFS Cycle 43r3 brings model and assimilation updates. ECMWF Newsletter No. 152, 18-22.
  • Haiden, T., T. Hewson, M. Janousek, and D. S. Richardson, 2017: Forecast performance 2016. ECMWF Newsletter No. 151, 8-9.
  • Haiden, T., M. Janousek, and H. Hersbach, 2017: ERA5 aids in forecast performance monitoring. ECMWF Newsletter No. 150, 8.   
  • Haiden, T., M. Janousek, P. Bauer, J. Bidlot, L. Ferranti, F. Prates, F. Vitart, P. Bauer, and D.S. Richardson, 2016: Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including the 2016 resolution upgrade. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 792, 53p.
  • Casati, B., T. Haiden, B. Brown, P. Nurmi and J.-F. Lemieux, 2016: Verification of Environmental Prediction in Polar Regions: Recommendations for the Year of Polar Prediction, Report by WMO Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research.
  • Ollinaho, P., S.-J. Lock, M. Leutbecher, P. Bechtold, A. Beljaars, A. Bozzo, R. M. Forbes, T. Haiden, R. J. Hogan, and I. Sandu, 2016: Towards process-level representation of model uncertainties: Stochastically perturbed parametrisations in the ECMWF ensemble. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 784, 28p.
  • Dahoui, M., G. Radnoti, S. Healy, L. Isaksen, and T. Haiden, 2016: Use of forecast departures in verification against observations. ECMWF Newsletter No. 149, 30-33.   
  • Magnusson, L., and T. Haiden, 2016: Predicting heavy rainfall in China. ECMWF Newsletter No. 149, 4-5.   
  • Haiden, T. and S. Duffy, 2016: Use of high-density observations in precipitation verification. ECMWF Newsletter No. 147, 20-25.   
  • Lavers, D., D. S. Richardson, F. Pappenberger, T. Hewson, E. Zsoter, T. Haiden, H. Carr, and F. Rabier, 2016: An assessment of recent extreme rainfall events relative to a measure of maximum potential rainfall. ECMWF report to the Government of Science, 15p.
  • Haiden, T., T. Hewson, M. Janousek, and D. S. Richardson, 2016: Forecast performance 2015. ECMWF Newsletter No. 146, 5-6.
  • Haiden, T., 2015: Surface verification in the Arctic. ECMWF Newsletter No. 145, 14.
  • Rodwell, M. J., L. Ferranti, T. Haiden, L. Magnusson, J. Bidlot, N. Bormann, M. Dahoui, G. De Chiara, S. Duffy, R. Forbes, E. Hólm, B. Ingleby, M. Janousek, S.T.K. Lang, K. Mogensen, F. Prates, F. Rabier, D. S. Richardson, I. Tsonevsky, F. Vitart, and M. Yamaguchi, 2015: New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 759, 44p.
  • Haiden, T., M. Janousek, P. Bauer, J. Bidlot, M. Dahoui, L. Ferranti, F. Prates, D.S. Richardson, and F. Vitart, 2015: Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2014-2015 upgrades. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 765, 51p.
  • Forbes, R., T. Haiden, and L. Magnusson, 2015: Improvements in IFS forecasts of heavy precipitation events. ECMWF Newsletter No. 144, 21-26.
  • Ebert, E., B. Brown, J. Chen, C. Coelho, M. Dorninger, M.Göber, T. Haiden, M. Mittermaier, P. Nurmi, L. Wilson, and Y. Zhu, 2015: Numerical prediction of the Earth system: crosscutting research on verification techniques. In: Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: From Minutes to Months. WMO Publ. No. 1156, 403-418.  
  • Haiden, T., R. Forbes, M. Ahlgrimm, and A. Bozzo, 2015: The skill of ECMWF cloudiness forecasts. ECMWF Newsletter No. 143, 14-19.
  • Richardson, D. S., S. Hemri, K. Bogner, T. Gneiting, T. Haiden, F. Pappenberger, and M. Scheuerer, 2015: Calibration of ECMWF forecasts. ECMWF Newsletter No. 142, 12-16.
  • Haiden, T., M. Janousek, and D. S. Richardson, 2015: Forecast performance 2014. ECMWF Newsletter No. 142, 4-5.
  • Haiden, T., M. Janousek, D. S. Richardson, P. Bauer, J. Bidlot, L. Ferranti, T. Hewson, F. Prates, D. S. Richardson, and F. Vitart, 2014: Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2013-2014 upgrades. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 742, 61p.
  • Albergel, C., E. Dutra, J. Muñoz-Sabater, T. Haiden, G. Balsamo, A. Beljaars, L. Isaksen, P. de Rosnay, I. Sandu and N. Wedi: Soil temperature at ECMWF: an assessment using ground-based observations. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 735, 18p.
  • Magnusson, L., T. Haiden, and D. Richardson, 2014: Verification of extreme weather events: discrete predictands. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 731, 27p.
  • Haiden, T., L. Magnusson, and D. S. Richardson, 2014: Statistical evaluation of ECMWF extreme wind forecasts. ECMWF Newsletter No. 139, 29-33.
  • Haiden, T., L. Magnusson, I. Tsonevsky, F. Wetterhall, L. Alfieri, F. Pappenberger, P. de Rosnay, J. Munoz-Sabater, G. Balsamo, C. Albergel, R. Forbes, T. Hewson, S. Malardel, and D. Richardson, 2014: ECMWF forecast performance during the June 2013 flood in Central Europe. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 723, 34p.
  • Haiden, T., F. Prates, I. Sandu, and G. Balsamo, 2014: 2-m temperature under very stable conditions. ECMWF Memorandum, 14-195, 10p.
  • Haiden, T., and D. S. Richardson, 2013: Forecast performance 2013. ECMWF Newsletter No. 137, 13-14.
  • Richardson, D. S., J. Bidlot, L. Ferranti, T. Haiden, T. Hewson, M. Janousek, F. Prates, and F. Vitart, 2013: Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2012-2013 upgrades. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 710, 53p.
  • Pappenberger, F., F. Wetterhall, C. Albergel, L. Alfieri, G. Balsamo, K. Bogner, T. Haiden, T. Hewson, L. Magnusson, P. de Rosnay, J. Munoz-Sabater, and I. Tsonevsky, 2013: Floods in central Europe in June 2013. ECMWF Newsletter No. 136, 9-11.
  • Haiden, T., 2013: Routine verification of radiation and cloudiness. ECMWF Newsletter No. 135, 3-4.
  • Haiden, T., and L. Magnusson, 2013: Christmas 2012 forecast bust in Europe. ECMWF Memorandum, 13-048, 21p.
  • Richardson, D. S., J. Bidlot, L. Ferranti, A. Ghelli, T. Haiden, T. Hewson, M. Janousek, F. Prates, and F. Vitart, 2012: Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2011-2012. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 688, 51p.
  • Bechtold, P., P. Bauer, P. Berrisford, J. Bidlot, C. Cardinali, T. Haiden, M. Janousek, D. Klocke, L. Magnusson, A. McNally, F. Prates, M. Rodwell, N. Semane, and F. Vitart, 2012: Progress in predicting tropical systems: the role of convection. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 686, 61 p.
  • Haiden, T., M. J. Rodwell, D. S. Richardson, A. Okagaki, T. Robinson, and T. Hewson, 2012: Intercomparison of global model precipitation forecast skill in 2010/11 using the SEEPS score. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 665, 21 p.  
  • Richardson, D. S., J. Bidlot, L. Ferranti, A. Ghelli, T. Haiden, T. Hewson, M. Janousek, F. Prates, and F. Vitart, 2011: Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2010-2011. ECMWF Tech. Memo., 654, 51p.
  • Rodwell, M. J., T. Haiden, and D. Richardson, 2011: Developments in precipitation verification. ECMWF Newsletter No. 128, 12-16.

 

 

 

thumbnail photo of Thomas Haiden
Contact Details:
Tel. +44 (0) 118 9499111