Principal Scientist
Research, Earth System Modelling, Model Uncertainty
Summary:
Martin Leutbecher works on the methodology of ensemble forecasting with a focus on the representation of uncertainties in the initial conditions and the model.
Professional interests:
- Dynamics and physical processes in the Earth System
- Numerical weather prediction
- Representation of model uncertainties
- Initial conditions for ensembles
- Evaluation of ensemble forecasts
- Atmospheric predictability
Career background:
- Team leader Model Uncertainty, ECMWF 2016-present
- Team leader Medium-range ensemble prediction, ECMWF 2013-2016
- Principal Scientist, ECMWF 2011-present
- Senior Scientist, ECMWF 2002-2011
- Visiting Scientist CNRM, Meteo-France 2001-2002
- Consultant, ECMWF 1999-2002
- Postdoc at the Institute for Atmospheric Physics, DLR Oberpfaffenhofen 1998-1999
- 2025
- Martin Leutbecher, Sándor Baran (January 2025) Ensemble size dependence of the logarithmic score for forecasts issued as multivariate normal distributions, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4898
- 2024
- (October 2024) Data-driven ensemble forecasting with the AIFS, ECMWF Newsletter n. 181, pp. 32-37. DOI: 10.21957/ma3p95hxe2
- (October 2024) Improving the physical consistency of ensemble forecasts by using SPP in the IFS, ECMWF Newsletter n. 181, pp. 26-31. DOI: 10.21957/mlz238dk1p
- 2022
- Moritz Pickl, Simon T. K. Lang, Martin Leutbecher, Christian M. Grams (April 2022) The effect of stochastically perturbed parametrisation tendencies (SPPT) on rapidly ascending air streams, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 744, pp. 1242-1261. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4257
- 2021
- Peter Bechtold, Martina Bramberger, Andreas Dornbrack, Martin Leutbecher, Lars Isaksen (July 2021) Forecasting clear-air turbulence, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 168, pp. 32-37. DOI: 10.21957/p381s6cn9b
- Simon T. K. Lang, Andrew Dawson, Michail Diamantakis, Peter Dueben, Samuel Hatfield, Martin Leutbecher, Tim Palmer, Fernando Prates, Christopher D. Roberts, Irina Sandu, Nils Wedi (October 2021) More accuracy with less precision, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 741, pp. 4358-4370. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4181
- Simon T. K. Lang, Sarah‐Jane Lock, Martin Leutbecher, Peter Bechtold, Richard M. Forbes (January 2021) Revision of the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisations model uncertainty scheme in the Integrated Forecasting System, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3978
- Leutbecher M., Haiden T. (February 2021) Understanding changes of the continuous ranked probability score using a homogeneous Gaussian approximation, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3926
- Peter Bechtold, M Bramberger, A. Dörnbrack, L. Isaksen, Martin Leutbecher (January 2021) Experimenting with a Clear Air Turbulence (CAT) Index from the IFS, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 874. DOI: 10.21957/4l34tqljm
- Martin Leutbecher, Zied Ben Bouallegue, Thomas Haiden, Simon Lang, Sarah-Jane Lock (March 2021) Progress in ensemble forecasting and verification methodologies at ECMWF. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-108
- Tsz Yan Leung, Martin Leutbecher, Sebastian Reich, Theodore G. Shepherd (July 2021) Forecast verification: Relating deterministic and probabilistic metrics, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4120
- 2020
- Michael Sleigh, Philip Browne, Chris Burrows, Martin Leutbecher, Thomas Haiden, David Richardson (July 2020) IFS upgrade greatly improves forecasts in the stratosphere, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 164, pp. 18-23. DOI: 10.21957/b72xo6ms93
- Leung T.Y., Leutbecher M., Reich S., Shepherd T.G. (February 2020) Impact of the mesoscale range on error growth and the limits to atmospheric predictability, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-19-0346.1
- Martin Leutbecher, Zied Ben Bouallègue (January 2020) On the probabilistic skill of dual‐resolution ensemble forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3704
- Ben Bouallégue Z., Ferro C.A.T., Leutbecher M., Richardson D.S. (February 2020) Predictive verification for the design of partially exchangeable multi-model ensembles, Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography. DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2019.1697165
- Chris Roberts, Antje Weisheimer, Stephanie Johnson, Timothy Stockdale, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Philip Browne, Andrew Dawson, Martin Leutbecher, Frederic Vitart (January 2020) Reduced-resolution ocean configurations for efficient testing with the ECMWF coupled model, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 858. DOI: 10.21957/6fz18mn9r
- irina sandu, Thomas Haiden, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Polly Schmederer, Gabriele Arduini, Jonathan Day, Anton Beljaars, Zied Ben Bouallègue, Souhail Boussetta, Martin Leutbecher, Linus Magnusson, Patricia de Rosnay (November 2020) Addressing near-surface forecast biases: outcomes of the ECMWF project 'Understanding uncertainties in surface atmosphere exchange' (USURF), ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 875. DOI: 10.21957/wxjwsojvf
- 2019
- Martin Leutbecher (September 2019) Ensemble size: How suboptimal is less than infinity?, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3387
- Stefan Siegert, Christopher A. T. Ferro, David B. Stephenson, Martin Leutbecher (September 2019) The ensemble‐adjusted Ignorance Score for forecasts issued as normal distributions, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3447
- Düben P.D., Leutbecher M., Bauer P. (February 2019) New methods for data storage of model output from ensemble simulations, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0170.1
- Leung T.Y., Leutbecher M., Reich S., Shepherd T.G. (February 2019) Atmospheric predictability: Revisiting the inherent finite-time barrier, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-19-0057.1
- Sándor Baran, Martin Leutbecher, Marianna Szabó, Zied Ben Bouallègue (March 2019) Statistical post-processing of dual-resolution ensemble forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3521
- S.‐J. Lock, S.T.K. Lang, M. Leutbecher, R.J. Hogan, F. Vitart (June 2019) Treatment of model uncertainty from radiation by the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrization Tendencies (SPPT) scheme and associated revisions in the ECMWF ensembles, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3570
- Estíbaliz Gascón, David Lavers, Thomas M. Hamill, David S. Richardson, Zied Ben Bouallègue, Martin Leutbecher, Florian Pappenberger (July 2019) Statistical post‐processing of dual‐resolution ensemble precipitation forecasts across Europe, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3615
- Frederic Vitart, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Laura Ferranti, Angela Benedetti, Beena Balan Sarojini, Steffen Tietsche, Junchen Yao, Martin Janousek, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Martin Leutbecher, Peter Bechtold, Inna Polichtchouk, David Richardson, Timothy Stockdale, Chris Roberts (November 2019) Extended-range prediction, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 854. DOI: 10.21957/pdivp3t9m
- Polly Schmederer, irina sandu, Thomas Haiden, Anton Beljaars, Martin Leutbecher, Claudia Becker (November 2019) Use of super-site observations to evaluate near-surface temperature forecasts, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 161, pp. 32-38. DOI: 10.21957/fa518ps439
- 2018
- Buizza R., Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Andrew Brown, S.J. English, Richard Forbes, Alan Geer, Haiden T., Martin Leutbecher, Linus Magnusson, Mark John Rodwell, M. Sleigh, Timothy Stockdale, Frederic Vitart, Wedi N. (October 2018) The development and evaluation process followed at ECMWF to upgrade the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 829. DOI: 10.21957/xzopnhty9
- 2017
- Ollinaho P., Lock S.-J., Leutbecher M., Bechtold P., Beljaars A., Bozzo A., Forbes R.M., Haiden T., Hogan R.J., Sandu I. (February 2017) Towards process-level representation of model uncertainties: stochastically perturbed parametrizations in the ECMWF ensemble, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2931
- Váňa F., Düben P., Lang S., Palmer T., Leutbecher M., Salmond D., Carver G. (February 2017) Single precision in weather forecasting models: An evaluation with the IFS, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0228.1
- Martin Leutbecher, Sarah‐Jane Lock, Pirkka Ollinaho, Simon T. K. Lang, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Peter Bechtold, Massimo Bonavita, Hannah M. Christensen, Michail Diamantakis, Emanuel Dutra, Stephen English, Michael Fisher, Richard M. Forbes, Jacqueline Goddard, Thomas Haiden, Robin J. Hogan, Stephan Juricke, Heather Lawrence, Dave MacLeod, Linus Magnusson, Sylvie Malardel, Sebastien Massart, Irina Sandu, Piotr K. Smolarkiewicz, Aneesh Subramanian, Frédéric Vitart, Nils Wedi, Antje Weisheimer (July 2017) Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 707, pp. 2315-2339. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3094
- 2016
- P. Ollinaho, Sarah-Jane Lock, Martin Leutbecher, Peter Bechtold, Anton Beljaars, Alessio Bozzo, R.M. Forbes, Thomas Haiden, Robin Hogan, irina sandu (February 2016) Towards process-level representation of model uncertainties: Stochastically perturbed parameterisations in the ECMWF ensemble, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 784. DOI: 10.21957/jjk9l5yy
- Filip Vána, Glenn Carver, Simon Lang, Martin Leutbecher, Deborah Salmond, Peter Dueben, Tim Palmer (February 2016) Single-precision IFS, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 148, pp. 20-23. DOI: 10.21957/avq2i3tp
- Yamaguchi M., Lang S.T.K., Leutbecher M., Rodwell M.J., Radnoti G., Bormann N. (February 2016) Observation-based evaluation of ensemble reliability, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2675
- Martin Leutbecher, Sarah-Jane Lock, P. Ollinaho, S.T.K. Lang, al et (February 2016) Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: State of the art and future vision, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 785. DOI: 10.21957/db1w1xzch
- 2015
- Lang S.T.K., Bonavita M., Leutbecher M. (February 2015) On the impact of re-centring initial conditions for ensemble forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2543
- Buizza R., Leutbecher M. (February 2015) The forecast skill horizon, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2619
- Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher, Thorpe A. (February 2015) Living with the butterfly effect: a seamless view of predictability, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 145, pp. 18-23. DOI: 10.21957/x4h3e8w3
- Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher (June 2015) The Forecast Skill Horizon, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 754. DOI: 10.21957/6g2wkoyb6
- 2014
- Leutbecher M., Lang S.T.K. (February 2014) On the reliability of ensemble variance in subspaces defined by singular vectors, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2229
- Richard Forbes, Ivan Tsonevsky, Timothy Hewson, Martin Leutbecher (February 2014) Towards predicting high-impact freezing rain events, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 141, pp. 15-21. DOI: 10.21957/xcauc5jf
- 2013
- Ollinaho P., Bechtold P., Leutbecher M., Laine M., Solonen A., Haario H., Järvinen H. (February 2013) Parameter variations in prediction skill optimization at ECMWF, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. DOI: 10.5194/npg-20-1001-2013
- Peter A. E. M. Janssen, Ø. Breivik, Kristian S. Mogensen, Frederic Vitart, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Jean Bidlot, Sarah Keeley, Martin Leutbecher, Linus Magnusson, Franco Molteni (November 2013) Air-sea interaction and surface waves, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 712, pp. 34. DOI: 10.21957/0kg73joh
- Peter Bauer, Anton Beljaars, Maike Ahlgrimm, Peter Bechtold, Jean Bidlot, Massimo Bonavita, Alessio Bozzo, Richard Forbes, E. V. Hólm, Martin Leutbecher, Philippe Lopez, Linus Magnusson, F. Prates, Mark John Rodwell, irina sandu, A. Untch, Frederic Vitart (July 2013) Model Cycle 38r2: Components and Performance, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 704, pp. 58. DOI: 10.21957/xc1r0lj6l
- 2012
- Lang S.T.K., Jones S.C., Leutbecher M., Peng M.S., Reynolds C.A. (February 2012) Sensitivity, structure, and dynamics of singular vectors associated with Hurricane Helene (2006), Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-048.1
- Lang S.T.K., Leutbecher M., Jones S.C. (February 2012) Impact of perturbation methods in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system on tropical cyclone forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.1942
- Hagedorn R., Buizza R., Hamill T.M., Leutbecher M., Palmer T.N. (February 2012) Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.1895
- Renate Hagedorn, Roberto Buizza, T.M. Hamill, Martin Leutbecher, T.N. Palmer (January 2012) Comparing TIGGE multi-model forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 663, pp. 27. DOI: 10.21957/9nfamplly
- 2011
- Shutts G., Martin Leutbecher, Antje Weisheimer, Timothy Stockdale, L. Isaksen, Massimo Bonavita (February 2011) Representing model uncertainty: stochastic parametrizations at ECMWF, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 129, pp. 19-24. DOI: 10.21957/fbqmkhv7
- 2010
- L. Isaksen, Massimo Bonavita, Roberto Buizza, Mike Fisher, J. Haseler, Martin Leutbecher, Laure Raynaud (December 2010) Ensemble of data assimilations at ECMWF, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 636, pp. 45. DOI: 10.21957/obke4k60
- Mark John Rodwell, T. Jung, Peter Bechtold, P. Berrisford, Niels Bormann, Carla Cardinali, Laura Ferranti, Timothy Hewson, Franco Molteni, Nils Wedi, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Massimo Bonavita, Roberto Buizza, Mohamed Dahoui, Anotonio Garcia-Mendez, Martin Leutbecher, Philippe Lopez, Y. Trémolet, Frederic Vitart (October 2010) Developments in diagnostics research, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 637, pp. 49. DOI: 10.21957/tnuoos42a
- Anwender D., Jones S.C., Leutbecher M., Harr P.A. (February 2010) Sensitivity experiments for ensemble forecasts of the extratropical transition of Typhoon Tokage (2004), Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.527
- Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher, L. Isaksen, Haseler J. (February 2010) Combined use of EDA- and SV-based perturbations in the EPS, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 123, pp. 22-28. DOI: 10.21957/codf7bpp
- L. Isaksen, Haseler J., Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher (February 2010) The new Ensemble of Data Assimilations, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 123, pp. 17-21. DOI: 10.21957/vzbtkbf8
- Y Takaya, Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Martin Leutbecher, Franco Molteni (March 2010) Implementation of an ocean mixed layer model in IFS, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 622, pp. 34. DOI: 10.21957/0czbftej
- 2009
- Lawrence A.R., Leutbecher M., Palmer T.N. (February 2009) The characteristics of Hessian singular vectors using an advanced data assimilation scheme, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.447
- Berner J., Shutts G.J., Leutbecher M., Palmer T.N. (February 2009) A spectral stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme and its impact on flow-dependent predictability in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. DOI: 10.1175/2008JAS2677.1
- T.N. Palmer, Roberto Buizza, F. Doblas-Reyes, T. Jung, Martin Leutbecher, G.J. Shutts, M. Steinheimer, Antje Weisheimer (October 2009) Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 598, pp. 42. DOI: 10.21957/ps8gbwbdv
- 2008
- Peter Bechtold, M. Köhler, T. Jung, F. Doblas-Reyes, Martin Leutbecher, Mark John Rodwell, Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo (February 2008) Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: from synoptic to decadal time-scales, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 556, pp. 22. DOI: 10.21957/s54t9der
- Magnusson L., Leutbecher M., Källén E. (February 2008) Comparison between singular vectors and breeding vectors as initial perturbations for the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/2008MWR2498.1
- Park Y.-Y., Buizza R., Leutbecher M. (February 2008) TIGGE: Preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.334
- Jung T., Leutbecher M. (February 2008) Scale-dependent verification of ensemble forecasts, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.255
- Leutbecher M., Palmer T.N. (February 2008) Ensemble forecasting, Journal of Computational Physics. DOI: 10.1016/j.jcp.2007.02.014
- Morcrette J.-J., Mozdzynski G., Leutbecher M. (February 2008) A reduced radiation grid for the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/2008MWR2590.1
- Buizza R., Leutbecher M., Isaksen L. (February 2008) Potential use of an ensemble of analyses in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.346
- Bechtold P., Köhler M., Jung T., Doblas-Reyes F., Leutbecher M., Rodwell M.J., Vitart F., Balsamo G. (February 2008) Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: From synoptic to decadal time-scales, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.289
- Peter Bechtold, Köhler M., Jung T., Martin Leutbecher, Mark John Rodwell, Frederic Vitart (February 2008) Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with IFS cycle 32r3, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 114, pp. 29-38. DOI: 10.21957/33vbh2pla1
- Roberto Buizza, Park Y.-Y., Martin Leutbecher, Florian Pappenberger (February 2008) Predictability studies using TIGGE data, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 116, pp. 16-20. DOI: 10.21957/j9qbbbftjw
- David Richardson, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, Martin Janousek, Martin Leutbecher, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart, Ervin Zsoter (October 2008) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2007-2008., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 578, pp. 45. DOI: 10.21957/5kq18xj
- David Richardson, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, G. van der Grijn, Martin Leutbecher, Frederic Vitart, Ervin Zsoter (January 2008) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2006-2007., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 547, pp. 43. DOI: 10.21957/kts52tbx0
- Y-Y. Park, Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher (January 2008) TIGGE: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 548, pp. 43. DOI: 10.21957/64xzq5urj
- T. Jung, Martin Leutbecher (January 2008) Scale-dependent verification of ensemble forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 551, pp. 17. DOI: 10.21957/wh8m7fgoa
- 2007
- Martin Leutbecher, T.N. Palmer (February 2007) Ensemble forecasting, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 514, pp. 31. DOI: 10.21957/c0hq4yg78
- J.-J. Morcrette, Peter Bechtold, Anton Beljaars, Angela Benedetti, Axel Bonet, F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Hague, M. Hamrud, J. Haseler, J. Kaiser, Martin Leutbecher, G. Mozdzynski, Miha Razinger, Deborah Salmond, S. Serrar, Martin Suttie, A.M. Tompkins, A. Untch, Antje Weisheimer (October 2007) Recent advances in radiation transfer parametrizations, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 539, pp. 50. DOI: 10.21957/ubx8vhd6q
- Leutbecher M. (February 2007) On the representation of initial uncertainties with multiple sets of singular vectors optimized for different criteria, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.174
- Jung T., Leutbecher M. (February 2007) Performance of the ECMWF forecasting system in the Arctic during winter, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.99
- T.N. Palmer, Roberto Buizza, Martin Leutbecher, Renate Hagedorn, T. Jung, Mark John Rodwell, Frederic Vitart, J. Berner, E. Hágel, A.R. Lawrence, Florian Pappenberger, Y-Y. Park, L von Bremen, I Gilmour (October 2007) The Ensemble Prediction System - Recent and Ongoing Developments, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 540, pp. 53. DOI: 10.21957/bh84yl1rj
- J.-J. Morcrette, G. Mozdzynski, Martin Leutbecher (September 2007) A reduced radiation grid for the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 538, pp. 20. DOI: 10.21957/ulnklieu
- Martin Leutbecher (September 2007) On the representation of initial uncertainties with multiple sets of singular vectors optimised for different criteria., ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 519, pp. 17. DOI: 10.21957/s0f6qyknj
- A.R. Lawrence, Martin Leutbecher, T.N. Palmer (February 2007) Comparison of Total Energy and Hessian Singular Vectors: Implications for Observation Targeting NOT PUBLISHED, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 517. DOI: 10.21957/htk9s246
- 2006
- Anwender D., Leutbecher M., Jones S., Harr P.A. (February 2006) Sensitivity of ensemble forecasts of extratropical transition to initial perturbations targeted on the tropical cyclone, 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology.
- Tim Palmer, Roberto Buizza, Renate Hagedorn, Andy Lawrence, Martin Leutbecher, Lenny Smith (February 2006) Ensemble prediction: A pedagogical perspective, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 106, pp. 10-17. DOI: 10.21957/ab129056ew
- F. Lalaurette, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, F. Grazzini, Martin Leutbecher, David Richardson, G. van der Grijn (August 2006) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2004-2005., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 501, pp. 46. DOI: 10.21957/pzvb99ct2
- Walser A., Arpagaus M., Appenzeller C., Leutbecher M. (February 2006) The impact of moist singular vectors and horizontal resolution on short-range limited-area ensemble forecasts for two European winter storms, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/MWR3210.1
- Fisher M., Leutbecher M., Kelly G.A. (February 2006) On the equivalence between Kalman smoothing and weak-constraint four-dimensional variational data assimilation, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1256/qj.04.142
- 2005
- Leutbecher M. (February 2005) On ensemble prediction using singular vectors started from forecasts, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/MWR3018.1
- Palmer T.N., Shutts G.J., Hagedorn R., Doblas-Reyes F.J., Jung T., Leutbecher M. (February 2005) Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction, Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences. DOI: 10.1146/annurev.earth.33.092203.122552
- Walser A., Arpagaus M., Leutbecher M., Appenzeller C. (February 2005) Short-range limited-area ensemble forecasts for two European winter storms: The impact of moist singular vectors and horizontal resolution, Hrvatski Meteoroloski Casopis.
- Andre Walser, M. Arpagus, Martin Leutbecher, C. Appenzeller (March 2005) The impact of moist singular vectors and horizontal resolution on short-range limited-area ensemble forecasts for two European winter storms., ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 459, pp. 14. DOI: 10.21957/m0urtqlqc
- Martin Leutbecher (April 2005) On ensemble prediction using singular vectors started from forecasts., ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 462, pp. 11. DOI: 10.21957/xuyeqttxv
- F. Lalaurette, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, F. Grazzini, Martin Leutbecher, J-E. Paulsen, P. Viterbo (May 2005) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2003-2004., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 463, pp. 46. DOI: 10.21957/g29m7s50
- 2003
- Leutbecher M. (February 2003) A reduced rank estimate of forecast error variance changes due to intermittent modifications of the observing network, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
- 2002
- Leutbecher M., Barkmeijer J., Palmer T.N., Thorpe A.J. (February 2002) Potential improvement to forecasts of two severe storms using targeted observations, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1256/00359000260247408
- Martin Leutbecher, J. Barkmeijer, T.N. Palmer, A.J. Thorpe (March 2002) Potential improvement of forecasts of two severe storms using targeted observations, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 362, pp. 29. DOI: 10.21957/vxa0kyuml
- Martin Leutbecher (September 2002) A reduced rank estimate of forecast error variance changes due to intermittent modifications of the observing network, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 384, pp. 20. DOI: 10.21957/hzg685l6i
- 2001
- Dörnbrack A., Leutbecher M. (February 2001) Relevance of mountain waves for the formation of polar stratospheric clouds over Scandinavia: A 20 year climatology, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres.
- Leutbecher M. (February 2001) Surface pressure drag for hydrostatic two-layer flow over axisymmetric mountains, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
- Dörnbrack A., Leutbecher M., Reichardt J., Behrendt A., Müller K.-P., Baumgarten G. (February 2001) Relevance of mountain wave cooling for the formation of polar stratospheric clouds over Scandinavia: Mesoscale dynamics and observations for January 1997, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres.
- 2000
- Leutbecher M., Volkert H. (February 2000) The propagation of mountain waves into the stratosphere: Quantitative evaluation of three-dimensional simulations, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences.
- 1999
- Dörnbrack A., Leutbecher M., Kivi R., Kyrö E. (February 1999) Mountain-wave-induced record low stratospheric temperatures above northern Scandinavia, Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography.
- Wirth M., Tsias A., Dörnbrack A., Weiß V., Carslaw K.S., Leutbecher M., Renger W., Volkert H., Peter T. (February 1999) Model-guided Lagrangian observation and simulation of mountain polar stratospheric clouds, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres.