Contractor
Forecast, Evaluation
Summary:
David Richardson is Head of the Evaluation Section at ECMWF. He has over 30 years’ experience in weather forecasting research and operations, including use and monitoring of the global observing system, development of numerical weather prediction models, ensemble forecasting, products and tools for forecast users, and evaluation of all aspects of forecast performance. He has published numerous scientific papers as well as book chapters on these topics.
David has served on several WMO committees and is currently chair of the WMO Expert Team on Operational Weather Forecasting Process and Support, which oversees the co-ordination of operational NWP activities among WMO member states.
Professional interests:
- Forecast verification
- Diagnostics of forecast model behaviour
- Forecast products, probability forecasts and communication of uncertainty
- Statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts
- Ensemble forecasting methods
Career background:
- 2013–present: Head of Evaluation Section, ECMWF
- 2005-2013: Head of Meteorological Operations Section, ECMWF
- 2003-2005: Manager of Assimilation Studies, Met Office, UK
- 1997-2002: Education Officer and research scientist, ECMWF
- 1986-1997: Research scientist, Met Office, UK
External recognitions
- Fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society
- Member of RMetS Council (2004-2008) and member of Accreditation Board (2007-2012)
- Chair of the WMO Expert Team on Operational Weather Forecasting Process and Support (2013-)
- Member of the WMO Executive Council Steering Group on Seamless Global Data Processing and Forecasting System (2016-)
- Member of the WMO THORPEX TIGGE Working Group (2003-2015; co-chair 2003-2005)
- Chair of WMO CBS Co-ordination Group on Forecast Verification (2009-2013)
- Member of UK National Flood Resilience Review Scientific Advisory Group (2016)
- 2022
- Thomas Haiden, Martin Janousek, Frederic Vitart, Zied Ben Bouallègue, Laura Ferranti, Fernando Prates, David Richardson (September 2022) Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including the 2021 upgrade, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 902. DOI: 10.21957/xqnu5o3p
- 2021
- Linus Magnusson, Sharanya Majumdar, Rebecca Emerton, David Richardson, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Calum Baugh, Peter Bechtold, Jean Bidlot, Antonino Bonanni, Massimo Bonavita, Niels Bormann, Andy Brown, Philip Browne, Hilda Carr, Mohamed Dahoui, Giovanna De Chiara, Michail Diamantakis, David I. Duncan, Stephen English, Richard Forbes, Alan Geer, Thomas Haiden, Sean Healy, Timothy Hewson, Bruce Ingleby, Martin Janousek, Christian Kühnlein, Simon Lang, Sarah-Jane Lock, Tony McNally, Kristian S. Mogensen, Florian Pappenberger, Inna Polichtchouk, Fernando Prates, Christel Prudhomme, Florence Rabier, Patricia de Rosnay, Tiago Quintino, Michael Rennie (October 2021) Tropical cyclone activities at ECMWF, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 888. DOI: 10.21957/zzxzzygwv
- Thomas Haiden, Martin Janousek, Frederic Vitart, Zied Ben Bouallègue, Laura Ferranti, Crtistina Prates, David Richardson (January 2021) Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including the 2020 upgrade, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 880. DOI: 10.21957/6njp8byz4
- 2020
- (July 2020) Adding value to extended-range forecasts in northern Europe by statistical post-processing using stratospheric observations, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-8441-2020
- (August 2020) Forecast Errors and Uncertainties in Atmospheric Rivers, Weather and Forecasting. DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-20-0049.1
- (October 2020) User decisions, and how these could guide developments in probabilistic forecasting, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3845
- (December 2020) Measuring the Impact of a New Snow Model Using Surface Energy Budget Process Relationships, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002144
- Ben Bouallégue Z., Ferro C.A.T., Leutbecher M., Richardson D.S. (September 2020) Predictive verification for the design of partially exchangeable multi-model ensembles, Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography. DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2019.1697165
- David A. Lavers, Maria-Helena Ramos, Linus Magnusson, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Bastian Klein, Christel Prudhomme, Louise Arnal, Louise Crochemore, Bart Van Den Hurk, Albrecht H. Weerts, Shaun Harrigan, Hannah L. Cloke, David S. Richardson, Florian Pappenberger (February 2020) A Vision for Hydrological Prediction, Atmosphere. DOI: 10.3390/atmos11030237
- David S. Richardson, Hannah L. Cloke, Florian Pappenberger (June 2020) Evaluation of the Consistency of ECMWF Ensemble Forecasts, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087934
- Michael Sleigh, Philip Browne, Chris Burrows, Martin Leutbecher, Thomas Haiden, David Richardson (July 2020) IFS upgrade greatly improves forecasts in the stratosphere, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 164, pp. 18-23. DOI: 10.21957/b72xo6ms93
- David A. Lavers, F. Martin Ralph, David S. Richardson, Florian Pappenberger (October 2020) Improved forecasts of atmospheric rivers through systematic reconnaissance, better modelling, and insights on conversion of rain to flooding, Communications Earth & Environment. DOI: 10.1038/s43247-020-00042-1
- 2019
- Gascón E., Lavers D., Hamill T.M., Richardson D.S., Bouallègue Z.B., Leutbecher M., Pappenberger F. (September 2019) Statistical postprocessing of dual-resolution ensemble precipitation forecasts across Europe, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3615
- Magnusson L., Bidlot J.-R., Bonavita M., Brown A.R., Browne P.A., De Chiara G., Dahoui M., Lang S.T.K., McNally T., Mogensen K.S., Pappenberger F., Prates F., Rabier F., Richardson D.S., Vitart F., Malardel S. (September 2019) ECMWF activities for improved hurricane forecasts, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0044.1
- Lavers D.A., Beljaars A., Richardson D.S., Rodwell M.J., Pappenberger F. (September 2019) A Forecast Evaluation of Planetary Boundary Layer Height Over the Ocean, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. DOI: 10.1029/2019JD030454
- David A Lavers, Shaun Harrigan, Erik Andersson, David S Richardson, Christel Prudhomme, Florian Pappenberger (September 2019) A vision for improving global flood forecasting, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab52b2
- Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Jean Bidlot, Simon Lang, Ivan Tsonevsky, David Richardson, Magdalena A. Balmaseda (February 2019) Use of ERA5 to Initialize Ensemble Re-forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 841. DOI: 10.21957/w8i57wuz6
- Laura Ferranti, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart, David Richardson (January 2019) A new product to flag up the risk of cold spells in Europe weeks ahead, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 158, pp. 15-20. DOI: 10.21957/k2rlf88oe1
- Michael Sleigh, Philip Browne, Thomas Haiden, David Richardson, Michail Diamantakis (July 2019) IFS upgrade greatly improves forecasts, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 160, pp. 18-22. DOI: 10.21957/gt23msc861
- Kira Feldmann, David S. Richardson, Tilmann Gneiting (July 2019) Grid‐ Versus Station‐Based Postprocessing of Ensemble Temperature Forecasts, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2019gl083189
- Zied Ben Bouallègue, Linus Magnusson, Thomas Haiden, David S. Richardson (March 2019) Monitoring trends in ensemble forecast performance focusing on surface variables and high‐impact events, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3523
- Frederic Vitart, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Laura Ferranti, Angela Benedetti, Beena Balan Sarojini, Steffen Tietsche, Junchen Yao, Martin Janousek, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Martin Leutbecher, Peter Bechtold, Inna Polichtchouk, David Richardson, Timothy Stockdale, Chris Roberts (November 2019) Extended-range prediction, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 854. DOI: 10.21957/pdivp3t9m
- Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Jean Bidlot, Simon Lang, Ivan Tsonevsky, David Richardson, Magdalena A. Balmaseda (November 2019) Use of ERA5 reanalysis to initialise re‑forecasts proves beneficial, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 161, pp. 26-31. DOI: 10.21957/g71fv083lm
- 2018
- Zied Ben Bouallègue, Thomas Haiden, David S. Richardson (March 2018) The diagonal score: definition, properties, and interpretations, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3293
- Richardson D. (September 2018) Medium- and extended-range ensemble weather forecasting, Weather and Climate Services for the Energy Industry. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_8
- David Richardson (September 2018) Medium- and Extended-Range Ensemble Weather Forecasting, Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_8
- M. J. Rodwell, D. S. Richardson, D. B. Parsons, H. Wernli (May 2018) Flow-Dependent Reliability: A Path to More Skillful Ensemble Forecasts, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-17-0027.1
- David A. Lavers, Mark J. Rodwell, David S. Richardson, F. Martin Ralph, James D. Doyle, Carolyn A. Reynolds, Vijay Tallapragada, Florian Pappenberger (August 2018) The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079019
- David A. Lavers, David S. Richardson, Alexandre M. Ramos, Ervin Zsoter, Florian Pappenberger, Ricardo M. Trigo (September 2018) Earlier awareness of extreme winter precipitation across the western Iberian Peninsula, Meteorological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/met.1727
- Laura Ferranti, Linus Magnusson, Frédéric Vitart, David S. Richardson (July 2018) How far in advance can we predict changes in large-scale flow leading to severe cold conditions over Europe?, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3341
- Haiden T., Dahoui M., Bruce Ingleby, P. de Rosnay, Crtistina Prates, Ersagun Kuscu, Timothy Hewson, L. Isaksen, David Richardson, Hao Zuo, Luke Jones (November 2018) Use of in situ surface observations at ECMWF, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 834. DOI: 10.21957/dj9lpy4wa
- David Richardson, Timothy Hewson (September 2018) Use and verification of ECMWF products in Member and Co-operating States (2017), ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 818. DOI: 10.21957/da8x0wn3i
- Cihan Sahin, Timothy Hewson, Sylvie Lamy-Thepaut, Ivan Tsonevsky, Umberto Modigliani, David Richardson (July 2018) Using ECMWF’s new ensemble vertical profiles, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 156, pp. 37-42. DOI: 10.21957/83cs60nb21
- Hans Hersbach, Patricia de Rosnay, Bill Bell, Dinand Schepers, Adrian Simmons, Cornel Soci, Saleh Abdalla, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Peter Bechtold, P. Berrisford, Jean Bidlot, de Boisséson E., Massimo Bonavita, Browne P., Roberto Buizza, Per Dahlgren, Dick Dee, Rossana Dragani, Michail Diamantakis, Johannes Flemming, Richard Forbes, Alan Geer, Thomas Haiden, Elias Hólm, L. Haimberger, Robin Hogan, Andras Horanyi, Janiskova M., Patrick Laloyaux, Philippe Lopez, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, C. Peubey, Raluca Radu, David Richardson, Jean-Noel THEPAUT, Frederic Vitart, Yang X, Ervin Zsoter, Hao Zuo (December 2018) Operational global reanalysis: progress, future directions and synergies with NWP, ERA Report Series n. 27. DOI: 10.21957/tkic6g3wm
- 2017
- David A. Lavers, Ervin Zsoter, David S. Richardson, Florian Pappenberger (August 2017) An Assessment of the ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index for Water Vapor Transport during Boreal Winter, Weather and Forecasting. DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-17-0073.1
- Roberto Buizza, David Richardson (September 2017) 25 years of ensemble forecasting at ECMWF, ECMWF newsletter, issue 153, pp. 20-31. DOI: 10.21957/bv418o
- Roberto Buizza, Peter Bechtold, Massimo Bonavita, Niels Bormann, Alessio Bozzo, Thomas Haiden, Robin Hogan, Elias Hólm, Gabor Radnoti, David Richardson, Michael Sleigh (September 2017) IFS Cycle 43r3 brings model and assimilation updates, ECMWF newsletter, issue 152, pp. 18-22. DOI: 10.21957/76t4e1
- Roberto Buizza, Jean Bidlot, Martin Janousek, Sarah Keeley, Kristian Mogensen, David Richardson (September 2017) New IFS cycle brings sea-ice coupling and higher ocean resolution, ECMWF newsletter, issue 150, pp. 14-17. DOI: 10.21957/xbov3ybily
- Thomas Haiden, Martin Janousek, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart, Peter Bauer, David Richardson (September 2017) Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2016-2017 upgrades, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 817. DOI: 10.21957/x397za5p5
- 2016
- Rodwell M.J., Lang S.T.K., Ingleby N.B., Bormann N., Hólm E., Rabier F., Richardson D.S., Yamaguchi M. (September 2016) Reliability in ensemble data assimilation, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2663
- Eric Gilleland, Florian Pappenberger, Barbara Brown, Elizabeth Ebert, David Richardson (September 2016) Verification of Meteorological Forecasts for Hydrological Applications, Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-40457-3_4-1
- David A. Lavers, Florian Pappenberger, David S. Richardson, Ervin Zsoter (November 2016) ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index for water vapor transport: A forecast tool for atmospheric rivers and extreme precipitation, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2016gl071320
- Ervin Zsótér, Florian Pappenberger, Paul Smith, Rebecca Elizabeth Emerton, Emanuel Dutra, Fredrik Wetterhall, David Richardson, Konrad Bogner, Gianpaolo Balsamo (November 2016) Building a Multimodel Flood Prediction System with the TIGGE Archive, Journal of Hydrometeorology. DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-15-0130.1
- Thomas Haiden, Martin Janousek, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart, Peter Bauer, David Richardson (September 2016) Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including the 2016 resolution upgrade, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 792. DOI: 10.21957/vltarm3ql
- 2015
- David Richardson, Hemri S, K. Bogner, Gneiting T., Thomas Haiden, Florian Pappenberger, Scheuerer M. (September 2015) Calibration of ECMWF forecasts, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 142, pp. 12-16. DOI: 10.21957/45t3o8fj
- Pappenberger F., Cloke H.L., Parker D.J., Wetterhall F., Richardson D.S., Thielen J. (September 2015) The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe, Environmental Science and Policy. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016
- Zsoter E., Pappenberger F., Richardson D. (September 2015) Sensitivity of model climate to sampling configurations and the impact on the Extreme Forecast Index, Meteorological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/met.1447
- Pappenberger F., Jendritzky G., Staiger H., Dutra E., Di Giuseppe F., Richardson D.S., Cloke H.L. (September 2015) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), International Journal of Biometeorology. DOI: 10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3
- Ervin Zsoter, Richard Mladek, Florian Pappenberger, David Richardson, Hopsch S., Keller J., Swinbank R., Buchanan P., P. Arbogast, Joly B. (September 2015) GEOWOW project boosts access to Earth observation data, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 145, pp. 35-41. DOI: 10.21957/verls26y
- Thomas Haiden, Martin Janousek, Peter Bauer, Jean Bidlot, Mohamed Dahoui, Laura Ferranti, F. Prates, David Richardson, Frederic Vitart (September 2015) Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2014-2015 upgrades, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 765. DOI: 10.21957/nu7pfcjke
- 2014
- Alfieri L., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., Haiden T., Richardson D., Salamon P. (September 2014) Evaluation of ensemble streamflow predictions in Europe, Journal of Hydrology. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.06.035
- Tim Palmer, David Richardson (September 2014) Decisions, decisions…!, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 141, pp. 12-14. DOI: 10.21957/bychj3cf
- Thomas Haiden, Magnusson L., David Richardson (September 2014) Statistical evaluation of ECMWF extreme wind forecasts, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 139, pp. 29-33. DOI: 10.21957/ezc4ydat
- Thomas Haiden, Peter Bauer, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, Timothy Hewson, F. Prates, David Richardson, Frederic Vitart (December 2014) Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2013-2014 upgrades, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 742. DOI: 10.21957/ei4wlemsl
- Thomas Haiden, Linus Magnusson, Ivan Tsonevsky, Fredrik Wetterhall, L. Alfieri, Florian Pappenberger, Patricia de Rosnay, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, Gianpaolo Balsamo, C. Albergel, Richard Forbes, Timothy Hewson, S. Malardel, David Richardson (June 2014) ECMWF forecast performance during the June 2013 flood in Central Europe, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 723, pp. 34. DOI: 10.21957/4p9ebc2r3
- Linus Magnusson, David Richardson, Thomas Haiden (September 2014) Verification of extreme weather events: Discrete predictands, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 731. DOI: 10.21957/1iql31n2c
- 2013
- Rabier F., Cohn S., Cocquerez P., Hertzog A., Avallone L., Deshler T., Haase J., Hock T., Doerenbecher A., Wang J., Guidard V., Thépaut J.-N., Langland R., Tangborn A., Balsamo G., Brun E., Parsons D., Bordereau J., Cardinali C., Danis F., Escarnot J.-P., Fourrié N., Gelaro R., Genthon C., Ide K., Kalnajs L., Martin C., Meunier L.-F., Nicot J.-M., Perttula T., Potts N., Ragazzo P., Richardson D., Sosa-Sesma S., Vargas A. (September 2013) The concordiasi field experiment over antarctica: First results from innovative atmospheric measurements, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00005.1
- Dutra E., Diamantakis M., Tsonevsky I., Zsoter E., Wetterhall F., Stockdale T., Richardson D., Pappenberger F. (September 2013) The extreme forecast index at the seasonal scale, Atmospheric Science Letters. DOI: 10.1002/asl2.448
- Thorpe A., Peter Bauer, Magnusson L., David Richardson (September 2013) An evaluation of recent performance of ECMWF’s forecasts, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 137, pp. 15-18. DOI: 10.21957/hi1eektr
- Erik Andersson, David Richardson (September 2013) Forecast performance 2012, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 134, pp. 11-12. DOI: 10.21957/w8gh9iug
- Thomas Haiden, David Richardson (September 2013) Forecast performance 2013, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 137, pp. 13-14. DOI: 10.21957/f8yquerf
- David Richardson, Jean Bidlot, Thomas Haiden, Timothy Hewson, Martin Janousek, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart (November 2013) Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2012-2013 upgrades., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 710, pp. 55. DOI: 10.21957/sle20lpgb
- Emanuel Dutra, Michail Diamantakis, Ivan Tsonevsky, Ervin Zsoter, Fredrik Wetterhall, Timothy Stockdale, David Richardson, Florian Pappenberger (June 2013) The extreme forecast index applied to seasonal forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 703, pp. 24. DOI: 10.21957/m4j70t27c
- 2012
- Thomas Haiden, Mark John Rodwell, David Richardson, A. Okagaki, T. Robinson, Timothy Hewson (January 2012) Intercomparison of global model precipitation forecast skill in 2010/11 using the SEEPS score, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 665, pp. 23. DOI: 10.21957/at45412rq
- Haiden T., Rodwell M.J., Richardson D.S., Okagaki A., Robinson T., Hewson T. (September 2012) Intercomparison of global model precipitation forecast skill in 2010/11 using the SEEPS score, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00301.1
- David S. Richardson (February 2012) Economic Value and Skill, Forecast Verification. DOI: 10.1002/9781119960003.ch9
- Erik Andersson, David Richardson (September 2012) Forecast performance 2011, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 130, pp. 15-16. DOI: 10.21957/ho5diiep
- David Richardson, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, Thomas Haiden, Timothy Hewson, Martin Janousek, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart (November 2012) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2011-2012., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 688, pp. 53. DOI: 10.21957/1zh9rr3q6
- 2011
- Jansa A., Arbogast P., Doerenbecher A., Garcies L., Genoves A., Homar V., Klink S., Richardson D., Sahin C. (September 2011) A new approach to sensitivity climatologies: The DTS-MEDEX-2009 campaign, Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-11-2381-2011
- David Richardson (August 2011) From Observations to Forecasts - Part 11: Ensemble products for weather forecasters, Weather. DOI: 10.1002/wea.845
- Mark John Rodwell, Thomas Haiden, David Richardson (September 2011) Developments in precipitation verification, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 128, pp. 12-16. DOI: 10.21957/x49qpn1o
- Erik Andersson, David Richardson (September 2011) Forecast performance 2010, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 126, pp. 10-11. DOI: 10.21957/nz8pniru
- David Richardson, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, Thomas Haiden, Timothy Hewson, Martin Janousek, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart (December 2011) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2010-2011., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 654, pp. 50. DOI: 10.21957/35b98nqdn
- 2010
- Rodwell M.J., Richardson D.S., Hewson T.D., Haiden T. (September 2010) A new equitable score suitable for verifying precipitation in numerical weather prediction, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.656
- Erik Andersson, David Richardson (September 2010) Performance of ECMWF forecasts in 2008/09, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 122, pp. 16-17. DOI: 10.21957/q7t2v9mp
- Mark John Rodwell, David Richardson, Timothy Hewson (February 2010) A new equitable score suitable for verifying precipitation in NWP, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 615, pp. 35. DOI: 10.21957/h886wj14
- David Richardson, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, Timothy Hewson, Martin Janousek, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart (October 2010) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2009-2010., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 635, pp. 45. DOI: 10.21957/jhsdy3m
- 2009
- Zsoter E., Buizza R., Richardson D. (September 2009) "Jumpiness" of the ECMWF and Met office EPS control and ensemble-mean forecasts, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/2009MWR2960.1
- David Richardson, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, C. Gibert, Timothy Hewson, M. Janousek andF. Prates, Frederic Vitart (October 2009) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2008-2009., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 606, pp. 45. DOI: 10.21957/8awjq1gf8
- Crtistina Prates, David Richardson, Cihan Sahin (July 2009) Final report of the PREVIEW observation Data Targeting System (DTS), ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 581, pp. 28. DOI: 10.21957/ziumqeedn
- 2008
- Ferro C.A.T., Richardson D.S., Weigel A.P. (September 2008) On the effect of ensemble size on the discrete and continuous ranked probability scores, Meteorological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/met.45
- Göber M., Zsótér E., Richardson D.S. (September 2008) Could a perfect model ever satisfy a naïve forecaster? On grid box mean versus point verification, Meteorological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/met.78
- David Richardson, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, Martin Janousek, Martin Leutbecher, F. Prates, Frederic Vitart, Ervin Zsoter (October 2008) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2007-2008., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 578, pp. 45. DOI: 10.21957/5kq18xj
- David Richardson, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, G. van der Grijn, Martin Leutbecher, Frederic Vitart, Ervin Zsoter (January 2008) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2006-2007., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 547, pp. 43. DOI: 10.21957/kts52tbx0
- 2006
- Richardson D.S. (September 2006) Predictability and economic value, Predictability of Weather and Climate. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511617652.026
- David Richardson, Roberto Buizza, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, G. van der Grijn, Ervin Zsoter (November 2006) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2005-2006., ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 504, pp. 42. DOI: 10.21957/wflgkg43l
- F. Lalaurette, Jean Bidlot, Laura Ferranti, A Ghelli, F. Grazzini, Martin Leutbecher, David Richardson, G. van der Grijn (August 2006) Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2004-2005., ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 501, pp. 46. DOI: 10.21957/pzvb99ct2
- 2004
- Richardson D.S., Truscott B. (September 2004) The 2003 Atlantic thorpex regional campaign (TREC), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
- Richardson D.S., Truscott B. (September 2004) The 2003 Atlantic THORPEX regional campaign (TReC), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
- Saetra Ø., Hersbach H., Bidlot J.-R., Richardson D.S. (September 2004) Effects of observation errors on the statistics for ensemble spread and reliability, Monthly Weather Review. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<1487:EOOEOT>2.0.CO;2
- 2003
- Buizza R., Richardson D.S., Palmer T.N. (September 2003) Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1256/qj.02.92
- 2002
- Yuejian Zhu, Zoltan Toth, Richard Wobus, David Richardson, Kenneth Mylne (January 2002) 2.3.co;2'>The Economic Value Of Ensemble-Based Weather Forecasts, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(2002)083<0073:tevoeb>2.3.co;2
- Ø. Saetra, Jean Bidlot, Hans Hersbach, David Richardson (December 2002) Effects of observations errors on the statistics for ensemble spread and reliability, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 393, pp. 12. DOI: 10.21957/vbycj7upm
- Roberto Buizza, David Richardson, T.N. Palmer (October 2002) Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 389, pp. 20. DOI: 10.21957/jy7gno1rq
- 2001
- Richardson D.S. (September 2001) Ensembles using multiple models and analyses, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1256/smsqj.57518
- Richardson D.S. (September 2001) Measures of skill and value of ensemble prediction systems, their interrelationship and the effect of ensemble size, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1256/smsqj.57714
- T.N. Palmer, J. Barkmeijer, Roberto Buizza, C. Jakob, F. Lalaurette, T. Paccagnella, David Richardson (November 2001) Severe weather prediction, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 352, pp. 59. DOI: 10.21957/myrs4isp8
- 2000
- Palmer T.N., Brankovic C., Richardson D.S. (September 2000) A probability and decision-model analysis of PROVOST seasonal multi-model ensemble integrations, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
- Buizza R., Barkmeijer J., Palmer T.N., Richardson D.S. (September 2000) Current status and future developments of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, Meteorological Applications.
- David Richardson (September 2000) Effect of ensemble size on reliability and Brier score, ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 290. DOI: 10.21957/pqpqimjz8