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Using Bayesian Model Averaging to calibrate short-range forecasts from a multi-model ensemble

Author

D Santos-Muñoz

A. Callado

Jose Garcia-Moya

Carlos Santos

J Simarro

2007, Presentation

File

15438-using-bayesian-model-averaging-calibrate-short-range-forecasts-multi-model-ensemble.pdf

Ensemble forecast verification - Recent work, new ideas and issues

Author

L.J. Wilson

2007, Presentation

File

15439-ensemble-forecast-verification-recent-work-new-ideas-and-issues.pdf

Verification of the SRNWP-PEPS

Author

Michael Denhard

A Trepte

M. Göber

B Anger

2007, Presentation

File

15440-verification-srnwp-peps.pdf

Using time-lag ensemble techniques to assess behaviour of high-resolution precipitation forecasts

Author

M. Mittermaier

2007, Presentation

File

15441-using-time-lag-ensemble-techniques-assess-behaviour-high-resolution-precipitation-forecasts.pdf

A multi-model multi-analysis limited area ensemble: calibration issues

Author

P.A. Chessa

M. Marrocu

2007, Presentation

File

15442-multi-model-multi-analysis-limited-area-ensemble-calibration-issues.pdf

Verifying the relationship between ensemble forecast spread and skill

Author

T. Hopson

J Weiss

P. Webster

2007, Presentation

File

15443-verifying-relationship-between-ensemble-forecast-spread-and-skill.pdf

Diagnostic evaluation of precipitation forecasts at multiple spatial scales

Author

B Brown

J Halley-Gotway

C Davis

L. Holland

2007, Presentation

File

15445-diagnostic-evaluation-precipitation-forecasts-multiple-spatial-scales.pdf

Verification techniques for spatial forecasts

Author

B Casati

2007, Presentation

File

15446-verification-techniques-spatial-forecasts.pdf

Developments in object-based verification: Model intercomparison and incorporation of the time dimension

Author

C Davis

B Brown

R Bullock

2007, Presentation

File

15447-developments-object-based-verification-model-intercomparison-and-incorporation-time-dimension.pdf

Verification via optical flow

Author

C Marzban

S Sandathe

2007, Presentation

File

15448-verification-optical-flow.pdf

Assessing high resolution forecasts using fuzzy verification methods

Author

Beth Ebert

N Roberts

B Casati

F. Atger

F. Ament

D Leuenberger

U Germann

M Kay

S. Theis

U Damrath

D Rezacova

2007, Presentation

File

15449-assessing-high-resolution-forecasts-using-fuzzy-verification-methods.pdf

Spatial forecast verification inter-comparison project (ICP)

Author

E Gilleland

B Brown

2007, Presentation

File

15450-spatial-forecast-verification-inter-comparison-project-icp.pdf

SAL - a novel error measure for the verification of high-resolution precipitation forecasts

Author

Marcus Paulat

H. Wernli

C. Frei

M Hagen

2007, Presentation

File

15452-sal-novel-error-measure-verification-high-resolution-precipitation-forecasts.pdf

Probabilistic approach in comparative verification of high resolution models

Author

K Kok

2007, Presentation

File

15453-probabilistic-approach-comparative-verification-high-resolution-models.pdf

Scale selective verification of precipitation forecasts

Author

N Roberts

2007, Presentation

File

15454-scale-selective-verification-precipitation-forecasts.pdf

Verifying deterministic forecasts of extreme events

Author

C. Ferro

2007, Presentation

File

15455-verifying-deterministic-forecasts-extreme-events.pdf

Verification of extreme weather

Author

D.B. Stephenson

C. Ferro

2007, Presentation

File

15456-verification-extreme-weather.pdf

Could a perfect model ever satisfy the forecaster? On grid-box versus point forecast

Author

Ervin Zsótér

M Goeber

David Richardson

2007, Presentation

File

15457-could-perfect-model-ever-satisfy-forecaster-grid-box-versus-point-forecast.pdf

Different types of verification results required by different users

Author

U Damrath

B Brown

P. Nurmi

2007, Presentation

File

15458-different-types-verification-results-required-different-users.pdf

the discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores

Author

A.P. Weigel

M. Liniger

C. Appenzeller

2007, Presentation

File

15459-discrete-brier-and-ranked-probability-skill-scores.pdf

Two extra components in the Brier Score Decomposition

Author

D.B. Stephenson

C. Coelho

I.T. Jolliffe

2007, Presentation

File

15460-two-extra-components-brier-score-decomposition.pdf

Playing the score - exploring beyond the hedge

Author

I.T. Jolliffe

2007, Presentation

File

15461-playing-score-exploring-beyond-hedge.pdf

Quantile based point-to-point validations

Author

J Jenkner

C Schwierz

S Dierer

2007, Presentation

File

15462-quantile-based-point-point-validations.pdf

Another look at proper scoring rules

Author

L.J. Wilson

T Gnelting

2007, Presentation

File

15463-another-look-proper-scoring-rules.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Using Bayesian Model Averaging to calibrate short-range forecasts from a multi-model ensemble

Ensemble forecast verification - Recent work, new ideas and issues

Verification of the SRNWP-PEPS

Using time-lag ensemble techniques to assess behaviour of high-resolution precipitation forecasts

A multi-model multi-analysis limited area ensemble: calibration issues

Verifying the relationship between ensemble forecast spread and skill

Diagnostic evaluation of precipitation forecasts at multiple spatial scales

Verification techniques for spatial forecasts

Developments in object-based verification: Model intercomparison and incorporation of the time dimension

Verification via optical flow

Assessing high resolution forecasts using fuzzy verification methods

Spatial forecast verification inter-comparison project (ICP)

SAL - a novel error measure for the verification of high-resolution precipitation forecasts

Probabilistic approach in comparative verification of high resolution models

Scale selective verification of precipitation forecasts

Verifying deterministic forecasts of extreme events

Verification of extreme weather

Could a perfect model ever satisfy the forecaster? On grid-box versus point forecast

Different types of verification results required by different users

the discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores

Two extra components in the Brier Score Decomposition

Playing the score - exploring beyond the hedge

Quantile based point-to-point validations

Another look at proper scoring rules

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