Explore sources of uncertainty in NWP and how this is represented in the IFS using stochastic physics.
Learn about the role of satellite observations and measurements, and how these are assimilated and monitored for NWP.
Learn about the ways in which forecast jumpiness can appear and how it can be mitigated.
Learn about uncertainties and chaotic behaviour in NWP, why ensembles are needed and how they are used at ECMWF.
Four case studies exploring the conditions that cause deep convection, considering predictability and forecast errors.