Showing 1 - 8 of 8 results
Understanding Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts

Understanding Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: October 9, 2025

Learn about the main sources of uncertainty in weather forecasting and how they are addressed in early warning systems.

Uncertainty, Robustness and Confidence

Uncertainty, Robustness and Confidence

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: June 16, 2023

This lesson teaches about sources of uncertainty in climate projections, what robust signals are, and when we can be confident in a change.

Climate Projections

Climate Projections

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: June 16, 2023

About climate projections, differences between climate models, and how to choose from climate projection data.

Ensemble Forecasting: Sources of forecast uncertainty (introduction)

Ensemble Forecasting: Sources of forecast uncertainty (introduction)

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn about sources of error in NWP, how they are quantified, and how ensembles are evaluated.

 Sources of Uncertainty

Sources of Uncertainty

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn about uncertainties and chaotic behaviour in NWP, why ensembles are needed and how they are used at ECMWF.

Representing model uncertainty with stochastic physics

Representing model uncertainty with stochastic physics

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Explore sources of uncertainty in NWP and how this is represented in the IFS using stochastic physics.

The ECMWF sub-seasonal (extended range) forecasts: Introduction

The ECMWF sub-seasonal (extended range) forecasts: Introduction

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn about sources of predictability, seasonal forecast skill and the ECMWF sub-seasonal forecasting system.

MLWC MOOC 2: Concepts of Machine Learning in Weather and Climate

MLWC MOOC 2: Concepts of Machine Learning in Weather and Climate

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: October 28, 2022

Five modules covering decision trees, deep learning, uncertainty and generative models, and physics-guided approaches.