Showing 1 - 6 of 6 results
Understanding Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts

Understanding Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: October 9, 2025

Learn about the main sources of uncertainty in weather forecasting and how they are addressed in early warning systems.

The Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) and the Shift Of Tail (SOT) index

The Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) and the Shift Of Tail (SOT) index

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn how EFI, SOT and Model Climate are built and provide forecast guidance for extreme, or severe weather events.

Ensemble Forecasting: Sources of forecast uncertainty (introduction)

Ensemble Forecasting: Sources of forecast uncertainty (introduction)

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn about sources of error in NWP, how they are quantified, and how ensembles are evaluated.

Seasonal forecasting

Seasonal forecasting

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn about seasonal predictability, how numerical seasonal forecast models work and their outputs.

The ECMWF sub-seasonal (extended range) forecasts: Introduction

The ECMWF sub-seasonal (extended range) forecasts: Introduction

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn about sources of predictability, seasonal forecast skill and the ECMWF sub-seasonal forecasting system.

Forecast Jumpiness: An introduction

Forecast Jumpiness: An introduction

Format: Interactive modules (eLearning)
Published: May 15, 2023

Learn about the ways in which forecast jumpiness can appear and how it can be mitigated.