Explore sources of uncertainty in NWP and how this is represented in the IFS using stochastic physics.
Four case studies exploring the conditions that cause deep convection, considering predictability and forecast errors.
How SCM is used to investigate the physical processes of a global model in isolation, its applications and limitations.
This lesson will take you through what convection is and the phenomena it causes.
This lesson looks at the three classes of parametrization schemes and the main characteristics of the IFS scheme.
Explore the key microphysical and warm-phase processes of cloud and precipitation parametrisation and their use in NWP.
This lesson covers key processes in ice and mixed-phase clouds and precipitation, and parametrization uncertainties.
Learn about the main sources of uncertainty in weather forecasting and how they are addressed in early warning systems.