Seasonal 13-month forecast (Set VII - SEAS)

These seasonal data comprises ensembles of individual forecasts coupled to an ocean model and post-processed products of average conditions (e.g. monthly averages) with the associated uncertainty. Products are available for forecast month 8-13, each quarter (February, May, August, November).

The following sub-sets are available:

VII-i: Monthly means of ensemble means

Field computed from data of the daily individual forecast runs (section VII-v) and averaged over all ensemble members. The fields are provided in GRIB code.

VII-ii: Monthly mean anomalies of ensemble means

VII-iii: Monthly means of individual ensemble members

VII-iv: Monthly mean anomalies of individual ensemble members

VII-v: Individual forecast runs

Definition of the monthly fields

The definition of the month is in accordance to the calendar month of the western calendar

  • Monthly means are computed using values at write-up times 00, 06, 12 and 18 UTC for
    • 2m temperature (K)
    • 10m U-velocity (m/s)
    • 10m V-velocity (m/s)
    • MSLP (Pa)
  • Monthly means are computed using values at write-up times 00 and 12 UTC for
    • Pressure-level parameters
  • Monthly means are computed using values at the write-up time 00 for
    • Sea surface temperature (K)
    • Soil temperature level 1 (K)
    • Volumetric soil water layer 1 (m**3 m**-3)
  • Monthly mean total precipitation (m/s) is the rate of precipitation during the month.
  • Maximum temperature at 2 meters (K) is the monthly mean of the maximum of MX2T (Maximum temperature at 2 meter since last post-processing).
  • Minimum temperature at 2 meters (K) is the monthly mean of the minimum of MN2T (Minimum temperature at 2 meters since last post-processing).
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Product Type
Real-time
Temporal Coverage
Long (Months)

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