Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

TitlePredictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles
Publication TypePoster
Date Published2016
EventECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty
AuthorsChen, SS, Christensen, H, Kerns, B
Keywordsmodel uncertainty, workshop
Abstract

The goals of this study are to:

  • better understand and predict MJO convective initiation and eastward propagation over the Indian-Pacific warm pool
  • better understand predictability and model uncertainty in the MJO forecasts
URLhttps://www.ecmwf.int/node/17045
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