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A weather-system perspective on forecast errors

Author

Heinli Wernli

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79561-weather-system-perspective-forecast-errors.pdf

An evaluation of radiative transfer modelling errors in AMSU-A data

Author

Cristina Lupu

Alan Geer

Niels Bormann

Stephen English

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16711-evaluation-radiative-transfer-modelling-errors-amsu-data.pdf

ASCAT ocean surface wind assessment

Author

Giovanna De Chiara

Stephen English

Peter Janssen

Jean-Raymond Bidlot

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16513-ascat-ocean-surface-wind-assessment.pdf

Assimilation of MWHS data over Land

Author

K. Chen

Niels Bormann

Stephen English

J. Zhu

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16904-assimilation-mwhs-data-over-land.pdf

Constrained adaptive bias correction for satellite radiance assimilation in the ECMWF 4D-Var system

Author

W. Han

Niels Bormann

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16712-constrained-adaptive-bias-correction-satellite-radiance-assimilation-ecmwf-4d-var-system.pdf

Diagnosing systematic numerical weather prediction model bias over the Antarctic from short-term forecast tendencies

Author

Steven Cavallo

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79563-diagnosing-systematic-numerical-weather-prediction-model-bias-over-antarctic-short-term.pdf

ECRAD: A new radiation scheme for the IFS

Author

Robin Hogan

Alessio Bozzo

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16901-ecrad-new-radiation-scheme-ifs.pdf

Ensemble data assimilation using a unified representation of model error

Author

Chiara Piccolo

Mike Cullen

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79845-ensemble-data-assimilation-using-unified-representation-model-error.pdf

Ensemble of Data Assimilations applied to the CAMS' greenhouse gases analysis

Author

Sebastien Massart

Massimo Bonavita

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16438-ensemble-data-assimilations-applied-cams-greenhouse-gases-analysis.pdf

Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including the 2016 resolution upgrade

Author

Thomas Haiden

F. Prates

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16924-evaluation-ecmwf-forecasts-including-2016-resolution-upgrade.pdf

Exploring EC-Earth 3.2-Beta performance on the new ECMWF Cray-Broadwell

Author

Souhail Boussetta

Cristian Simarro

D. Lucas

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16377-exploring-ec-earth-32-beta-performance-new-ecmwf-cray-broadwell.pdf

Impact of a stochastic deep convection scheme using cellular automata in the meso-scale ensemble prediction system; Harmon-EPS

Author

Lisa Bengtsson

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79570-impact-stochastic-deep-convection-scheme-using-cellular-automata-meso-scale-ensemble.pdf

Improving GFAS and CAMS biomass burning estimations by means of the Global ECMWF Fire Forecast system (GEFF)

Author

Francesca Di Giuseppe

S. Remy

Florian Pappenberger

Fredrik Wetterhall

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16906-improving-gfas-and-cams-biomass-burning-estimations-means-global-ecmwf-fire-forecast-system.pdf

Improving the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisation Tendencies scheme using High-Resolution Model Simulations

Author

H Christensen

Sarah-Jane Lock

Andrew Dawson

Tim Palmer

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79616-improving-stochastically-perturbed-parametrisation-tendencies-scheme-using-high-resolution.pdf

Inducing Tropical Cyclones to Undergo Brownian Motion

Author

Daniel Hodyss

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79572-inducing-tropical-cyclones-undergo-brownian-motion.pdf

Mesoscale convective systems as a source of model error

Author

Glenn Shutts

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79749-mesoscale-convective-systems-source-model-error.pdf

Model error representation in Meteo France ensemble NWP system

Author

Laure Raynaud

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79763-model-error-representation-meteo-france-ensemble-nwp-system.pdf

Model uncertainty estimation in global ocean models: Stochastic parametrizations of ocean mixing

Author

Stephan Juricke

Tim Palmer

Antje Weisheimer

Laure Zanna

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79568-model-uncertainty-estimation-global-ocean-models-stochastic-parametrizations-ocean-mixing.pdf

Model Uncertainty Representation in COSMO-DE-EPS

Author

Susanne Theis

Michael Buchhold

Christoph Gebhardt

Regina Kohlhepp

Andreas Röpnack

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79567-model-uncertainty-representation-cosmo-de-eps.pdf

Model uncertainty representations in the IFS

Author

Pirkka Ollinaho

Anton Beljaars

Thomas Haiden

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79565-model-uncertainty-representations-ifs.pdf

Momentum transport in shallow convection

Author

L. Schlemmer

Peter Bechtold

Irina Sandu

Maike Ahlgrimm

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16665-momentum-transport-shallow-convection.pdf

New coviariance statistics of model error for use in weak-constraint 4DVar

Author

Jacky Goddard

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79562-new-coviariance-statistics-model-error-use-weak-constraint-4dvar.pdf

On the diagnosis of model error statistics using weak-constraint data assimilation

Author

Neill Bowler

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79620-diagnosis-model-error-statistics-using-weak-constraint-data-assimilation.pdf

On the impact of the diabatic component in the Forecast Sensitivity Observation Impact diagnostics

Author

Marta Janiskova

Carla Cardinali

2016, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

16716-impact-diabatic-component-forecast-sensitivity-observation-impact-diagnositcs.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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A weather-system perspective on forecast errors

An evaluation of radiative transfer modelling errors in AMSU-A data

ASCAT ocean surface wind assessment

Assimilation of MWHS data over Land

Constrained adaptive bias correction for satellite radiance assimilation in the ECMWF 4D-Var system

Diagnosing systematic numerical weather prediction model bias over the Antarctic from short-term forecast tendencies

ECRAD: A new radiation scheme for the IFS

Ensemble data assimilation using a unified representation of model error

Ensemble of Data Assimilations applied to the CAMS' greenhouse gases analysis

Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including the 2016 resolution upgrade

Exploring EC-Earth 3.2-Beta performance on the new ECMWF Cray-Broadwell

Impact of a stochastic deep convection scheme using cellular automata in the meso-scale ensemble prediction system; Harmon-EPS

Improving GFAS and CAMS biomass burning estimations by means of the Global ECMWF Fire Forecast system (GEFF)

Improving the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisation Tendencies scheme using High-Resolution Model Simulations

Inducing Tropical Cyclones to Undergo Brownian Motion

Mesoscale convective systems as a source of model error

Model error representation in Meteo France ensemble NWP system

Model uncertainty estimation in global ocean models: Stochastic parametrizations of ocean mixing

Model Uncertainty Representation in COSMO-DE-EPS

Model uncertainty representations in the IFS

Momentum transport in shallow convection

New coviariance statistics of model error for use in weak-constraint 4DVar

On the diagnosis of model error statistics using weak-constraint data assimilation

On the impact of the diabatic component in the Forecast Sensitivity Observation Impact diagnostics

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