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Ensemble prediction: A pedagogical perspective

Author

Tim Palmer

Roberto Buizza

Renate Hagedorn

Andy Lawrence

Martin Leutbecher

Lenny Smith

2006, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18024-ensemble-prediction-pedagogical-perspective.pdf

Comparing and combining deterministic and ensemble forecasts: How to predict rainfall occurrence better

Author

Mark Rodwell

2006, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18025-comparing-and-combining-deterministic-and-ensemble-forecasts-how-predict-rainfall-occurrence.pdf

“Wavelet” Jb – A new way to model the statistics of background errors

Author

Mike Fisher

2006, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18026-wavelet-jb-new-way-model-statistics-background-errors.pdf

Progress in ocean wave forecasting at ECMWF

Author

Peter Janssen

2006, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

18027-progress-ocean-wave-forecasting-ecmwf.pdf

The new all-sky assimilation system for passive microwave satellite imager observations

Author

Peter Bauer

Alan Geer

Philippe Lopez

Deborah Salmond

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17476-new-all-sky-assimilation-system-passive-microwave-satellite-imager-observations.pdf

Tracking fronts and extra-tropical cyclones

Author

Tim Hewson

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17477-tracking-fronts-and-extra-tropical-cyclones.pdf

Progress in the implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for operational flood forecasting

Author

Hannah Cloke

J. Thielen

Florian Pappenberger

S. Nobert

G. Balint

C. Edlund

A Koistinen

C de Saint-Aubin

E Sprokkereef

C. Viel

P. Salamon

Roberto Buizza

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17478-progress-implementation-hydrological-ensemble-prediction-systems-heps-europe-operational-flood.pdf

An experiment with a 46-day Ensemble Prediction System

Author

Frédéric Vitart

Franco Molteni

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17479-experiment-46-day-ensemble-prediction-system.pdf

Evaluation of AMVs derived from ECMWF model simulations

Author

L. von Bremen

Niels Bormann

S. Wanzong

M. Hortal

Deborah Salmond

Jean-Noël Thépaut

Peter Bauer

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17481-evaluation-amvs-derived-ecmwf-model-simulations.pdf

EPS/EFAS probabilistic flood prediction for Northern Italy: the case of 30 April 2009

Author

Roberto Buizza

Florian Pappenberger

P. Salamon

J. Thielen

A. de Roo

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17482-epsefas-probabilistic-flood-prediction-northern-italy-case-30-april-2009.pdf

NEMOVAR: A variational data assimilation system for the NEMO ocean model

Author

K. Mogensen

Magdalena Alonso-Balmaseda

A. Weaver

M. Martin

A. Vidard

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17483-nemovar-variational-data-assimilation-system-nemo-ocean-model.pdf

Improvements in the stratosphere and mesosphere of the IFS

Author

Peter Bechtold

A. Orr

J.J. Morcette

Richard Engelen

Johannes Flemming

Marta Janiskova

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17484-improvements-stratosphere-and-mesosphere-ifs.pdf

The direct assimilation of cloud-affected infrared radiances in the ECMWF 4D-Var

Author

Tony McNally

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17485-direct-assimilation-cloud-affected-infrared-radiances-ecmwf-4d-var.pdf

Smoke in the air

Author

J.W. Kaiser

O. Boucher

M. Doutriax-Boucher

Johannes Flemming

Y. Govaerts

J. Gulliver

A. Heil

Luke Jones

A. Lattanzio

J.J. Morcette

M. Perrone

Miha Razinger

G. Roberts

M. Schultz

Adrian Simmons

M. Suttie

M.J. Wooster

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17486-smoke-air.pdf

Parametrization of convective gusts

Author

Peter Bechtold

Jean-Raymond Bidlot

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17487-parametrization-convective-gusts.pdf

Solar biases in the TRMM microwave imager (TMI)

Author

Alan Geer

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17488-solar-biases-trmm-microwave-imager-tmi.pdf

Variational bias correction in ERA-Interim

Author

Dick Dee

S. Uppala

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17489-variational-bias-correction-era-interim.pdf

Use of ECMWF lateral boundary conditions and surface assimilation for the operational ALADIN model in Hungary

Author

G. Bölöni

L. Kullmann

Andras Horányi

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17490-use-ecmwf-lateral-boundary-conditions-and-surface-assimilation-operational-aladin-model.pdf

EUROSIP: multi-model seasonal forecasting

Author

Tim Stockdale

F. Doblas-Reyes

Laura Ferranti

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17491-eurosip-multi-model-seasonal-forecasting.pdf

Using ECMWF products in global marine drift forecasting services

Author

G. Broström

A. Carrasco

B. Hackett

Ø. Sætra

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17492-using-ecmwf-products-global-marine-drift-forecasting-services.pdf

Record-setting performance of the ECMWF IFS in medium-range tropical cyclone track prediction

Author

M. Fiorino

2009, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17493-record-setting-performance-ecmwf-ifs-medium-range-tropical-cyclone-track-prediction.pdf

Analysis and forecast impact of humidity observations

Author

Erik Andersson

Elias Hólm

Peter Bauer

Anton Beljaars

Graeme Kelly

Tony McNally

Adrian Simmons

Jean-Noël Thépaut

Adrian Tompkins

2006, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17949-analysis-and-forecast-impact-humidity-observations.pdf

Hindcasts of historic storms with the DWD models GME, LMQ and LMK using ERA-40 reanalyses

Author

Helmut Frank

Detlev Majewski

2006, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17950-hindcasts-historic-storms-dwd-models-gme-lmq-and-lmk-using-era-40-reanalyses.pdf

Hurricane Jim over New Caledonia: a remarkable numerical prediction of its genesis and track

Author

Thierry Lefort

2006, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17951-hurricane-jim-over-new-caledonia-remarkable-numerical-prediction-its-genesis-and-track.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Ensemble prediction: A pedagogical perspective

Comparing and combining deterministic and ensemble forecasts: How to predict rainfall occurrence better

“Wavelet” Jb – A new way to model the statistics of background errors

Progress in ocean wave forecasting at ECMWF

The new all-sky assimilation system for passive microwave satellite imager observations

Tracking fronts and extra-tropical cyclones

Progress in the implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for operational flood forecasting

An experiment with a 46-day Ensemble Prediction System

Evaluation of AMVs derived from ECMWF model simulations

EPS/EFAS probabilistic flood prediction for Northern Italy: the case of 30 April 2009

NEMOVAR: A variational data assimilation system for the NEMO ocean model

Improvements in the stratosphere and mesosphere of the IFS

The direct assimilation of cloud-affected infrared radiances in the ECMWF 4D-Var

Smoke in the air

Parametrization of convective gusts

Solar biases in the TRMM microwave imager (TMI)

Variational bias correction in ERA-Interim

Use of ECMWF lateral boundary conditions and surface assimilation for the operational ALADIN model in Hungary

EUROSIP: multi-model seasonal forecasting

Using ECMWF products in global marine drift forecasting services

Record-setting performance of the ECMWF IFS in medium-range tropical cyclone track prediction

Analysis and forecast impact of humidity observations

Hindcasts of historic storms with the DWD models GME, LMQ and LMK using ERA-40 reanalyses

Hurricane Jim over New Caledonia: a remarkable numerical prediction of its genesis and track

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