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Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Author

Peter Düben

Tim Palmer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17059-model-uncertainty-quantification-using-ultra-efficient-inexact-hardware.pdf

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Author

N. Gagnon

P.L. Houtekamer

X.-X. Deng

A. Erfani

M. Charron

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17062-review-perturbation-methods-meteorological-service-canada-msc-global-ensemble-prediction.pdf

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Author

Christina Klasa

Heini Wernli

Andre Walser

Marco Arpagaus

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17071-case-study-based-evaluation-stochastic-physics-effects-high-resolution-ensemble-cosmo-e.pdf

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Author

Chih-Hsin Li

Jing-Shan Hong

Xing-Qin Fang

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17072-evaluation-skebs-impact-wrf-based-mesoscale-ensemble-prediction-system.pdf

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Author

Ekaterina Machulskaya

Richard Keane

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17073-representation-model-error-using-stochastic-equation-flow-dependent-spatial-and-temporal.pdf

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Author

Dave MacLeod

Hannah Cloke

Florian Pappenberger

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17074-perturbing-hydrology-parameters-seasonal-forecasts.pdf

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Author

Nigel Roberts

Seonaid Dey

Giovanni Leoncini

Robert Plant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Author

Tobias Selz

George Craig

Lotte Bierdel

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

Working group 3: What are and how do we measure the pros and cons of existing approaches?

Author

Carolyn Reynolds

Martin Leutbecher

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79971-working-group-3-what-are-and-how-do-we-measure-pros-and-cons-existing-approaches.pdf

Using forecast temporal variability to evaluate model behaviour

Author

Carolyn Reynolds

E. Satterfield

C. Bishop

2016, Presentation

File

17081-using-forecast-temporal-variability-evaluate-model-behaviour.pdf

Diagnostic methods for understanding the origin of forecast errors

Author

L. Magnusson

2017, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

17097-diagnostic-methods-understanding-origin-forecast-errors.pdf

Use and verification of ECMWF products in Member and Co-operating States (2016)

Author

Tim Hewson

2017, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

17100-use-and-verification-ecmwf-products-member-and-co-operating-states-2016.pdf

The public sector information directive at work: Make open, make available

Author

Kristin Lyng

Anton Eliassen

2017, Presentation

File

17102-public-sector-information-directive-work-make-open-make-available.pdf

WMO and the vision for WIS-2

Author

Matteo Dell'Acqua

2017, Presentation

File

17103-wmo-and-vision-wis-2.pdf

The Copernicus full, free and open data policy

Author

Peter Breger

2017, Presentation

File

17104-copernicus-full-free-and-open-data-policy0.pdf

State of the meteorological market

Author

Alex Longden

2017, Presentation

File

17105-state-meteorological-market0.pdf

The evolution of the ECOMET one-stop shop

Author

Willie McCairns

2017, Presentation

File

17106-evolution-ecomet-one-stop-shop.pdf

The future of Data Services

Author

Fabio Venuti

2017, Presentation

File

17107-future-data-services.pdf

Understanding the economic benefits of NWP

Author

Daniel Kull

2017, Presentation

File

17108-understanding-economic-benefits-nwp.pdf

The NOAA Big Data project: vision and approach

Author

Andy Bailey

2017, Presentation

File

17109-noaa-big-data-project-vision-and-approach.pdf

Evolution of the EUMETSAT Data Services strategy

Author

Lothar Wolf

2017, Presentation

File

17110-evolution-eumetsat-data-services-strategy.pdf

Private-sector perspectives on improving the socio-economic impact of weather data

Author

Dennis Schulze

2017, Presentation

File

17111-private-sector-perspectives-improving-socio-economic-impact-weather-data.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Model uncertainty quantification using ultra-efficient inexact hardware

Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Working group 3: What are and how do we measure the pros and cons of existing approaches?

Using forecast temporal variability to evaluate model behaviour

Diagnostic methods for understanding the origin of forecast errors

Use and verification of ECMWF products in Member and Co-operating States (2016)

The public sector information directive at work: Make open, make available

WMO and the vision for WIS-2

The Copernicus full, free and open data policy

State of the meteorological market

The evolution of the ECOMET one-stop shop

The future of Data Services

Understanding the economic benefits of NWP

The NOAA Big Data project: vision and approach

Evolution of the EUMETSAT Data Services strategy

Private-sector perspectives on improving the socio-economic impact of weather data

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