The spread of the ENS forecast, measured by the standard deviation (Std) of ENS values at a given point and lead time, is normalised against the mean of the spread of the 30 most recent 00UTC ENS (Mstd) for 00UTC runs (or 12UTC ENS (Mstd) for 30 most recent 12UTC ENS runs) for the same lead-times and geographical locations.
Portal
Real-time Products
Product Family
Data
Product Type
Atmospheric Model Ensemble 15-day forecast (ENS) (Set III)
Ensemble standard deviation
Provider
ECMWF
Temporal Coverage
Medium (15 days)