|Title||The Ensemble Prediction System - Recent and Ongoing Developments|
|Publication Type||Technical memorandum|
|Secondary Title||ECMWF Technical Memorandum|
|Authors||Palmer, TN, Buizza, R, Leutbecher, M, Hagedorn, R, Jung, T, Rodwell, M, Vitart, F, Berner, J, Hágel, E, Lawrence, AR, Pappenberger, F, Park, Y-Y, von Bremen, L, Gilmour, I|
The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System has been operational for 15 years. In this paper progress in the development and skill of the operational EPS is reviewed, and research in future developments is described, including use of the EPS for quantitative decision making in a variety of application sectors.