The Ensemble Prediction System - Recent and Ongoing Developments

TitleThe Ensemble Prediction System - Recent and Ongoing Developments
Publication TypeMiscellaneous
Year of Publication2007
AuthorsPalmer, TN, Buizza, R, Leutbecher, M, Hagedorn, R, Jung, T, Rodwell, M, Vitart, F, Berner, J, Hágel, E, Lawrence, AR, Pappenberger, F, Park, Y-Y, von Bremen, L, Gilmour, I
Secondary TitleTechnical Memorandum
Number540
Abstract

The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System has been operational for 15 years. In this paper progress in the development and skill of the operational EPS is reviewed, and research in future developments is described, including use of the EPS for quantitative decision making in a variety of application sectors.