A weather-system perspective on forecast errors

TitleA weather-system perspective on forecast errors
Publication TypeConference Paper
Date Published05/2016
EventECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty
AuthorWernli, H
Keywordsmodel uncertainty, workshop

This presentation investigates the linkage between forecast errors and specific weather systems and contributes to addressing the following questions:

(i) How well can NWP models represent and predict certain weather systems (e.g., the track and intensity of a cyclone or the lifecycle of a Rossby wave?), and

(ii) Are there specific weather systems involved in situations where forecasts errors are large?

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