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Towards process-level representation of model uncertainties: Stochastically perturbed parameterisations in the ECMWF ensemble

P. Ollinaho, Sarah-Jane Lock, Martin Leutbecher, Peter Bechtold, Anton Beljaars, Alessio Bozzo, R.M. Forbes, Thomas Haiden, Robin Hogan, Irina Sandu
2016, ECMWF Technical Memoranda, Technical memorandum, ECMWF.

16682-towards-process-level-representation-model-uncertainties-stochastically-perturbed.pdf
Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

Pieter De Meutter, Johan Camps, Andy Delcloo, Piet Termonia
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17057-uncertainty-quantification-atmospheric-transport-and-dispersion-backtracking-using-ensemble.pdf
Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Tobias Selz, George C. Craig, Lotte Bierdel
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf
Using forecast temporal variability to evaluate model behaviour

Carolyn Reynolds
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Conference Paper.

16368-using-forecast-temporal-variability-evaluate-model-behaviour.pdf
Water infiltration and redistribution in Land Surface Models

Anna Mueller-Quintino, Emanuel Dutra, Hannah L. Cloke, A. Verhoef, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Florian Pappenberger
2016, ECMWF Technical Memoranda, Technical memorandum, ECMWF.

16903-water-infiltration-and-redistribtuion-land-surface-models.pdf
Weather prediction in a world of uncertainties: should we care about model uncertainty?

Roberto Buizza
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Conference Paper.

16361-weather-prediction-world-uncertainties-should-we-care-about-model-uncertainty.pdf
Working group 1: What are the sources of model error?

Richard Forbes
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Conference Paper.

16549-working-group-1-what-are-sources-model-error.pdf
Working group 2: How can we improve the diagnosis of model error?

Heinli Wernli
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Conference Paper.

16550-working-group-2-how-can-we-improve-diagnosis-model-error.pdf
Working group 3: What are and how do we measure the pros and cons of existing approaches?

Carolyn Reynolds, Martin Leutbecher
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Conference Paper.

17080-working-group-3-what-are-and-how-do-we-measure-pros-and-cons-existing-approaches.pdf

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