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Review of the perturbation methods in the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS)

N. Gagnon, P.L. Houtekamer, X.-X. Deng, A. Erfani, M. Charron
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17062-review-perturbation-methods-meteorological-service-canada-msc-global-ensemble-prediction.pdf
Case-study based evaluation of stochastic physics effects in the high-resolution ensemble COSMO-E

Christina Klasa, Heini Wernli, Andre Walser, Marco Arpagaus
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17071-case-study-based-evaluation-stochastic-physics-effects-high-resolution-ensemble-cosmo-e.pdf
Evaluation of the SKEBS impact on WRF-based mesoscale ensemble prediction system

Chih-Hsin Li, Jing-Shan Hong, Xing-Qin Fang
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17072-evaluation-skebs-impact-wrf-based-mesoscale-ensemble-prediction-system.pdf
Representation of model error using stochastic equation with flow-dependent spatial and temporal correlations and noise amplitude

Ekaterina Machulskaya, Richard Keane
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17073-representation-model-error-using-stochastic-equation-flow-dependent-spatial-and-temporal.pdf
Perturbing hydrology parameters in seasonal forecasts

Dave MacLeod, Hannah L. Cloke, Florian Pappenberger, Antje Weisheimer
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17074-perturbing-hydrology-parameters-seasonal-forecasts.pdf
Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Husain Najafi, Ali Reza Massah Bavani
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf
Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Robert Plant, S.R.A. Dey, N.M. Roberts, S. Migliorini
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf
The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Nigel Roberts, Seonaid Dey, Giovanni Leoncini, Robert Plant
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf
Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Tobias Selz, George C. Craig, Lotte Bierdel
2016, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, Poster.

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

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