Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2018) - Speakers

Samuel AlmondSamuel Almond is working at ECMWF, the entrusted entity implementing the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) on behalf of the EC. In the role of 'Sectoral Information System Officer' he manages a diverse set of contracts which aim to showcase how the C3S's Climate Data Store (CDS) and associated infrastructure can be be used to deliver user-driven climate information for specific sectors.


Brett BUEF2018 Basarabasarab studied physics at Middlebury College in Vermont before earning his Master's degree in atmospheric science from Colorado State University in Fort Collins, CO. For his Master's work, Brett focused on improved methods to predict lightning frequency in thunderstorms. He then moved on to his current role as a meteorologist at Global Weather Corporation in Boulder, CO. Brett's passions and interests in the field include mesoscale meteorology, numerical weather prediction, and NWP model blending and post-processing. Outside of meteorology, he is an avid piano player and enjoys hiking, skiing, and exploring the mountains of Colorado.

UEF2018 Haldis BergeHaldis Berge has a Master degree in Meteorology from the University in Oslo. She works as a forecaster in Bergen, Norway, at the Norwegian Meteorological Institute. She does general and marine forecasting. She has been a forecaster in Bergen since autumn 2010. 



Rob CarverRob Carver is a meteorologist for Project Loon.  For Project Loon, Rob keeps track of the latest meteorology research and is the meteorology expert for the project.  Prior to joining Project Loon, Rob worked with the Google team responsible for weather-related searches.  Rob's first professional job was R&D scientist at Weather Underground, where he became an expert in explaining meteorology to programmers.  Rob has a PhD from Penn State, a MS from University of Oklahoma, and a bachelor's degree from New Mexico Tech. 

Jose L Casado-RubioJose-Luis Casado, MSc in Physics, joined the Spanish Meteorological Service (AEMET) in 2005. He had been employed previously as an IT consultant for the private sector for five years. At AEMET he worked first as an operational forecaster in the Canary Islands. He took a temporary leave of absence between 2009 and 2011 to accept a position as a Graduate Trainee in the Operations Department at ECMWF. After returning to Spain he joined the NWP Applications Group in AEMET as a researcher. He is currently working on projects which aim to give better wind and solar radiation forecasts to the renewable energy industry.

Francesca Di GiuseppeFrancesca Di Giuseppe leads the development of the Fire Forecasting system at ECMWF. The system  provides operational predictions to the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) under the umbrella of the European Copernicus Emergency Management Services. EFFIS is also being expanded into the Global Wildfire Information System to create an integrated system that provides access to all fire related available information on a global scale. Since joining ECMWF in 2011, Francesca has worked extensively on seasonal and sub-seasonal forecasting for sectoral application related to drought, fire and health, with a focus over Europe and Africa.

Martin Fengler Martin Fengler studied at TU Kaiserslautern (Germany) where he received his PhD in applied mathematics. After his studies he developed several numerical weather prediction codes for Meteomedia AG (now MeteoGroup Switzerland) where he became responsible for the technology & innovation department. In spring 2012 he decided to found Meteomatics in St. Gallen. Meteomatics focuses on weather solutions for industry. One of its USPs is the Meteodrone technology to enhance weather forecasts for fog, low stratus & storms.

Laura FerrantiLaura Ferranti is a principal scientist in the ECMWF Forecast Department. She studied physics in Bologna and holds a PhD in meteorology from the University of Reading. For over a decade Laura worked in research on predictability of seasonal variations. Later she moved to work on the operational aspects of the ensemble forecasts, applying her expertise on predictability to introduce new products and diagnostic tools to the ensemble forecasting system.  She has many years of experience working on diagnostic studies looking at the medium to seasonal forecast ranges. Laura is currently a member of the Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction (WGSIP) and member of the joint CBS/CCl Expert Team on Operational Predictions from Sub-seasonal to Longer-time Scales (ET-OPSLS).

Isla FinneyIsla Finney is an operational weather forecaster and the founder of Lake Street Consulting Ltd, which aims to help more organisations use weather data to improve their business. A brief stint as an academic, looking into the sources of error in numerical weather forecasts which limit their accuracy, gave her a strong knowledge base with which to transition to the commercial sector in 2001.  Her past employers vary from a consultancy company, an investment bank and a hedge fund.

Estibaliz Gascon has been working as a Scientist  in the "Forecast Performance and Products" section at ECMWF since 2016. She is involved in two European H2020 projects: ANYWHERE and IMPREX. As such her primary role is creating new products for high-impact weather, related to heavy precipitation, precipitation type, convection or droughts. She is also an analyst as part of the "Forecast Daily Report" group, whose main task is to summarize the important aspects of the real-time analyses and forecasts of ECMWF's operational models.

Previously Estibaliz was a Scientist at the University of Leon (Spain), where she carried out various researches and experimental campaigns in the framework of projects related to convective precipitation in winter and summer periods with tasks that cover both roles, researcher and forecaster. Collaborations in other research institutes such as the Cyprus Meteorological Service, Research Center of Environmental Changes (Taiwan) and Institute of the National Research Council of Italy (CNR) were developed during her PhD and Post-doc in Spain.

Anna GhelliAnna Ghelli works at ECMWF as international Liaison officer. Her background is in meteorology: she obtained a PhD from the Eidgenoessische Technische Hochschule (ETH), Zürich (CH) in Data Assimilation. She manages training activities for ECMWF and for the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), as well as relations with ECMWF Member and Co-operating States. She is the contact point for the ECMWF training activities in support of the World Meteorological Organisation projects aimed at capacity building in developing countries to strengthen the skills of the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services.

Thomas HaidenThomas Haiden joined ECMWF in 2010. He is leading the Team on Verification and Observation Monitoring in ECMWF's Evaluation Section. During previous affiliations with Austrian (ZAMG) and US (NOAA) forecasting centres he specialised in boundary-layer meteorology, mountain meteorology, and nowcasting. His current work at ECMWF focuses on forecast verification with emphasis on clouds, precipitation, and the atmospheric boundary-layer. He is a member of the WMO WWRP Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research.

Elin Björk Jonasdottir

Elín Björk Jónasdóttir is the Group leader for weather services at Icelandic Meteorological Office.

She has considerable forecasting experience in land, aviation and marine forecasting. She has worked several severe weather events in Iceland for the past 8 years, both as a weather forecaster and as a warning coordinator. These events range from bombing lows to volcanic eruptions and the forecasting of volcanic ash- and gas distribution.

Her main projects involve case studies, analyses and further development of new tools for forecasting purposes, training of new personnel as well as communication of weather related hazards to Civil Protection Authorities and the public.

Elín earned a B.Sc. in Meteorology from the University of Oklahoma, and a M.Sc. from the University of Oslo. She has worked in different departments at IMO since her student days and as a full-time forecaster since May 2010.

Paavo KorpelaPaavo Korpela is a forecaster at the Finnish Meteorological Institute's weather and warning center with almost 15 years of experience in operational weather forecasting from the warning perspective. Currently working half time in operational and half time developmental duties. In the latter the focus is to support operational meteorology by advancing post-processing and nowcasting.


Andrea Montani

Andrea Montani works at the Meteorological Service of the Emilia-Romagna Region, Arpae-SIMC (Bologna, Italy), in the Numerical Modelling area.
His main duties include the following:
- to manage and develop COSMO, the numerical weather prediction model, used to provide operational weather forecasts by Arpae-SIMC;
- to maintain and develop the limited-area ensemble prediction system COSMO-LEPS and related procedures, on behalf of the full COSMO consortium, so as to generate probabilistic forecast products in meteorological operational rooms;
- to develop new forecast products for medium-range weather predictions.
Andrea joined Arpae-SIMC in 2001, after completing an MSc and a PhD at the Department of Meteorology at the University of Reading.

Ken MylneKen Mylne is Head of Verification, Impacts and Post-Processing at the Met Office and is currently leading a major project to replace existing post-processing systems with a new unified, probabilistic system blending output from different NWP models and ensembles, including ranging from ECMWF global systems to Met Office convective-scale model and ensemble. Before this Ken was an operational forecaster and then led the development of ensemble forecasting at the Met Office for 15 years.

Florian Pappenberger

Florian Pappenberger is Director of Forecasts at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. The Forecast Department at ECMWF has a strong user focus and undertakes production of forecasts, forecast evaluation and diagnostics, development of forecast products and applications, software development, catalogue and data services and outreach and training.

Florian has a scientific background in the forecasting of weather driven natural hazards including floods, droughts, windstorms, forest fires and impacts on human health. He has over 10 years of expertise in operational probabilistic forecasting, extreme value statistics and numerical model system development at ECMWF. He was responsible for the development and implementation of the operational centre of the Copernicus Emergency Service - Early Warning Systems (floods).

Florian is the author of over 150 publications, has won several scientific awards and is visiting Professor at the University of Bristol. He is an elected fellow of the Royal Geographical Society and the Royal Meteorological Society and a member of several other professional bodies including HEPEX, British Hydrological Society, EGU, AGU, EMS, AMS. He is on the editorial board of several international scientific journal and regularly advises on international committees including WMO.

Thomas PetroliagkisThomas I. Petroliagkis is a senior weather forecaster having worked several years on the development and operational implementation of various NWP systems and mesoscale modelling platforms for supporting both wind and solar energy applications.

In the past, he also participated in the core development group of the ECMWF EPS (Ensemble Prediction System) focusing on extreme weather events.

As Chief Technical Advisor he completed successfully all the phases of installation and operational implementation of the UAE / AFWM (United Arab Emirates / Air Force Weather Model). He also worked for a couple of years as a consultant in solar energy and wind power operational forecasting applications.

Before joining the European Crisis Management Laboratory at the Disaster Risk Management Unit of the Space Security & Migration (SSM) Directorate, he had worked on the validation of both deterministic and probabilistic fire weather products for the EFFIS (European Forest Fire Information System) of the IES / JRC (Institute of Environment & Sustainability / Joint Research Center) of the European Commission.

Christel PrudhommeChristel Prudhomme is a hydrologist with over 20 years’ experience working on hydrological extremes and a visiting Professor (Loughborough University) specialised in Hydro-climatology.  She joined ECMWF in April 2017, where she leads the Environment Forecasts team, responsible for the development and operational maintenance and running of the Computation centre of the Copernicus Emergency System - Early Warning System on floods. Prior to that, she was principal scientists at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, a public research institute in the UK, leading a small team dedicated to study, understand and model the development in time and space of water deficits across spatial scales (from local to global), to assess their associated uncertainty and to quantifying the impact of climate variability and change on the hydrological processes and how in turn this impacts on the environment.

David Richardson

David Richardson is Head of Evaluation ECMWF. The Evaluation Section is responsible for assessing the performance of the ECMWF forecasting system and providing feedback to users and model developers. It also manages the meteorological and hydrological content of forecast products and applications, developing these to meet user needs.

David has over 25 years’ experience in weather forecasting research and operations. He has worked on all aspects of ensemble prediction methods for weather forecasts for weeks to seasons ahead. This includes the configuration of ensembles to represent the uncertainties in the initial conditions and modelling systems, development of products and tools for forecast users, and evaluation of forecast performance.  He has published numerous scientific papers as well as book chapters on these topics.

David is chair of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) Expert Team on Operational Weather Forecasting Process and Support.

Irina SanduIrina Sandu is the Team Leader of Physical Processes Team in the Research Department of ECMWF. Before joining ECMWF in 2010, Irina received a PhD from Université Paul Sabatier, Toulouse (2007), and spent a couple of years as an Alexander von Humbolt post doctoral fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg. At the time, the bulk of her research revolved around boundary layer clouds, their interaction with aerosols and the large scale conditions controlling their evolution. At ECMWF, Irina's work aims at improving the representation of both stable and cloudy boundary layers and understanding the impact of surface drag on the large scale circulation.

Tim Scheitlin

Tim Scheitlin has worked as a software engineer with the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) for over 25 years, with a focus on scientific visualization and creating animations of high resolution, multi-dimensional, geoscience data.  He manages the Visualization Lab (VisLab) program, which develops and disseminates innovative visualizations of NCAR science, maintains a venue for outreach and education to diverse audiences, and explores multiple technologies for distributed collaborative science. Working closely with NCAR scientists, he creates striking computer visualizations of severe weather, climate change, wildfires, ocean temperatures, and other geoscience phenomena. Visitors to the VisLab can view scientifically precise, aesthetically engaging animations, displayed in high-definition, often in 3-D, created by Tim and his colleagues.

Leonard SmithLeonard Smith is Director of the Centre for the Analysis of Time Series and Professor of Statistics at the London School of Economics. He is a Senior Research Fellow at Pembroke College Oxford and a Senior Research Fellow at the Energy Policy Institute at the University of Chicago. His research focuses on making, evaluating and actually using forecast systems; his current focus is on weather forecasting for anticipation in Disaster Risk Reduction, and the use of probability in the insurance sector. In the long run, he hopes to figure out a viable framework for interpreting probabilistic forecasts given a set of imperfect forecast systems. His book Chaos: A Very Short Introduction is an Amazon #1 Best Seller, now available in eight languages. He has received the Royal Meteorological Society’s Fitzroy Prize and an Australian Academy of Sciences Selby Fellowship.

Fiona van der BurgtFiona van der Burgt works as a consultant Extreme Weather and Climate Change at Weather Impact BV. She has a background in physics, climate change and meteorology and graduated as climate physicist at the Utrecht University in 2014. At Weather Impact her research work focuses on forecasting the impacts of climate change on agriculture and making risk analysis of extreme weather. Her work field is mainly in developing countries, where she develops operational weather services for the agricultural sector.

Remco VerzijlberghRemco Verzijlbergh is co-founder and director of operations of Whiffle Weather Finecasting, a company that specializes in high-resolution weather forecasting and simulation. He has an MSc in applied physics and a PhD in renewable energy economics. He also works as an assistant professor at the faculty of Technology, Policy and Management of Delft University of Technology, on issues related to the integration of renewable energy sources into the power system.