Learn about sources of error in NWP, how they are quantified, and how ensembles are evaluated.
Learn how EFI, SOT and Model Climate are built and provide forecast guidance for extreme, or severe weather events.
Learn about the ways in which forecast jumpiness can appear and how it can be mitigated.
Learn about sources of predictability, seasonal forecast skill and the ECMWF sub-seasonal forecasting system.
Explore sources of uncertainty in NWP and how this is represented in the IFS using stochastic physics.
Learn about uncertainties and chaotic behaviour in NWP, why ensembles are needed and how they are used at ECMWF.
