Scorecard for IFS cycle 41r1

High resolution

        Anomaly
Correlation
RMS
Error
SEEPS
Europe against
analysis
Geopotential 100hPa  
500hPa  
MSL pressure    
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
Relative
humidity
300hPa  
700hPa  
against
observations
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
2m temperature      
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
10m wind      
2m dew-point    
Total cloud cover    
24h precipitation    
Northern
hemisphere
extra-tropics
against
analysis
Geopotential 100hPa  
500hPa  
MSL pressure    
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
10m wind
over ocean
   
Ocean wave
height
 
Ocean wave
period
 
Relative
humidity
300hPa  
700hPa  
against
observations
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
2m temperature      
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
10m wind      
2m dew-point    
Total cloud cover    
24h precipitation    
Southren
hemisphere
extra-tropics
against
analysis
Geopotential 100hPa  
500hPa  
MSL pressure    
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
10m wind
over ocean
   
Ocean wave
height
 
Ocean wave
period
 
Relative
humidity
300hPa  
700hPa  
against
observations
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
2m temperature      
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
10m wind      
2m dew-point    
Total cloud cover    
24h precipitation    
Tropics against
analysis
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
10m wind
over ocean
   
Ocean wave
height
 
Ocean wave
period
 
Relative
humidity
300hPa  
700hPa  
against
observations
Temperature 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
2m temperature      
Wind 100hPa  
200hPa  
850hPa  
10m wind      
2m dew-point    
Total cloud cover    
24h precipitation    

Extended HRES scorecard

Comparison for additional domains can be found in the extended HRES scorecard (PNG image).

Ensemble

      Continuous
Rank
Probability
Score
Europe Wind speed 850hPa
Temperature
Geopotential 500hPa
1000hPa
Northern
hemisphere
extra-tropics
Wind speed 850hPa
Temperature
Geopotential 500hPa
1000hPa
Southren
hemisphere
extra-tropics
Wind speed 850hPa
Temperature
Geopotential 500hPa
1000hPa
Tropics Wind speed 850hPa
Temperature

Score card provides a quick visual overview over the performance of the CY41r1 scores compared to CY40r1. It is a simplified summary of verify error plots of various domains, scores, parameters etc.

Each error plot is converted into a sequence of symbols (e.g. ) where each symbol indicates for a given time step whether or not the CY41r1 is significantly better or worse than the CY40r1.

Symbol legend: for a given forecast step... (d: score difference, s: confidence interval width)
CY41r1 better than CY40r1 statistically highly significant (the confidence bar above zero by more than its height )(d/s>3)
CY41r1 better than CY40r1 statistically significant (d/s≥1)
CY41r1 better than CY40r1, yet not statistically significant (d/s≥0.5)
not really any difference between CY40r1 and CY41r1
CY41r1 worse than CY40r1, yet not statistically significant (d/s≤-0.5)
CY41r1 worse than CY40r1 statistically significant (d/s≤-1)
CY41r1 worse than CY40r1 statistically highly significant (the confidence bar below zero by more than its height) (d/s<-3)