Uncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach

TitleUncertainty quantification of atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking using an ensemble approach
Publication TypePoster
Date Published2016
EventECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty
AuthorsDe Meutter, P, Camps, J, Delcloo, A, Termonia, P
Conference LocationECMWF
Keywordsmodel uncertainty, workshop
Abstract

Atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking is important for the verification regime of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban-Treaty, which bans nuclear explosions worldwide. Knowledge of the uncertainty on atmospheric transport and dispersion backtracking gives more confidence in the analysis of nuclear test explosion signals picked-up by the International Monitoring System (IMS). Here we present an ensemble approach to quantify uncertainty and apply the technique on recent radioxenon measurements taken by the IMS.

URLhttps://www.ecmwf.int/node/17057
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