TY - GEN AU - Inna Polichtchouk AU - Peter Bechtold AU - Massimo Bonavita AU - Richard Forbes AU - Sean Healy AU - Robin Hogan AU - Patrick Laloyaux AU - Michael Rennie AU - Tim Stockdale AU - Nils Wedi AU - Michail Diamantakis AU - Johannes Flemming AU - Stephen English AU - Lars Isaksen AU - Filip VĂ¡na AU - Sonja Gisinger AU - Nicholas Byrne AB -

Accurate representation of the stratosphere in NWP models is important for accurate analysis/reanalysis products. It is also important for extended-range and seasonal forecasting because stratospheric variability can influence tropospheric weather patterns on these timescales. This paper reviews the current status and recent modelling and assimilation advances with regards to the stratosphere at ECMWF. The future evolution of ECMWF's Earth System model and assimilation are outlined with a particular focus on the upper atmosphere. Examples are also shown of stratosphere-troposphere coupling for extended-range timescales, while discussing selected processes and their simulation that could improve this aspect of longer-range predictive skill.

BT - ECMWF Technical Memoranda DA - 01/2021 DO - 10.21957/25hegfoq LA - eng M1 - 877 N2 -

Accurate representation of the stratosphere in NWP models is important for accurate analysis/reanalysis products. It is also important for extended-range and seasonal forecasting because stratospheric variability can influence tropospheric weather patterns on these timescales. This paper reviews the current status and recent modelling and assimilation advances with regards to the stratosphere at ECMWF. The future evolution of ECMWF's Earth System model and assimilation are outlined with a particular focus on the upper atmosphere. Examples are also shown of stratosphere-troposphere coupling for extended-range timescales, while discussing selected processes and their simulation that could improve this aspect of longer-range predictive skill.

PB - ECMWF PY - 2021 T2 - ECMWF Technical Memoranda TI - Stratospheric modelling and assimilation UR - https://www.ecmwf.int/node/19875 ER -