Case Studies
2008 - 2014 Myanmar and Nepal
RIMES, the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Asia and Africa, are evaluating GloFAS forecast performance at various locations in South Asia, where they are working to integrate GloFAS in the national flood forecasting capabilities in the region. This case study provides a summary of the results for the performance of the GloFAS ensemble mean discharge forecast compared to observations for several locations in two river basins, the Ayeyarwady in Myanmar and the Narayani in Nepal...{% trans "read all" %}
2010 Pakistan floods
A striking example is that of the severe floods that hit Pakistan in summer of 2010, triggered by exceptional monsoon rain beginning at the end of July. The flooding covered approximately one-fifth of the total land area of Pakistan, directly affecting about 20 million and causing a death toll close to 2000 people.On that occasion, forecasts on 28 July 2010 showed probabilities up to 100% of exceeding the severe alert level (i.e., 20 yr return period) in most of the Indus River basin, with peak flow traveling downstream in the first half of August 2010...