|
|
The Extreme Forecast
Index measures how far away from the model climate distribution the
EPS forecast distribution is (the EPS Control is treated as a
single member distribution). It scales from -1 (all members reach
unprecedented small values) to +1 (all members reach unprecedented
large values). See ECMWF Tech. Memo 373 (July 2002) or QJRMS, 2003
pp3037-3058 for more details
(http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/library/ecpublications/_pdf/tm373.pdf).
Compared to these last two references, it should be noted that a
more selective definition (order=0 or Anderson-Darling metrics) has
been introduced in line with the presentation given at the Users
meeting in June 2003 (see "Product Development" Slides 4 to 11 at
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/inspect/catalog/publications/slides/mru/2003/ec/ProductDevelopmentFLalaurette!4/".
Parameters available
in dissemination are listed in the Table 5.9.1.
- Table 5.9.1
(ECMWF Local Code Table 2, parameter table, Version Number
132)
|
FIELD CODE
|
MARS ABBREV.
|
FIELD NAME
|
UNITS
|
NO. OF BITS/VAL.
|
|
165
|
10WSI
|
Ten metre wind speed
index
|
-1 - 1
|
12
|
|
167
|
2TI
|
2 metre temperature
index
|
-1 - 1
|
12
|
|
49
|
10FGI
|
Wind gust at 10
meters index
|
-1 - 1
|
12
|
|
228
|
TPI
|
Total precipitation
index
|
-1 - 1
|
12
|
Time step range at
which these parameters are made available differ for 00 UTC based
and 12 UTC based products. For 00 UTC based products. See 5.9.1
bellow for more details. Please note that the STEP value in the
form 'value1-value2' represents a product for a time range 'value1
to value2' and is made available in dissemination at 'value2' time
step.
Horizontal
resolution:
- 0.25 x 0.25
degrees latitude-longitude grid, or multiples thereof (leg 1)
- 0.5 x 0.5 degrees
latitude-longitude grid, or multiples thereof (leg 2)
- the Gaussian grid
appropriate to the forecast model in use. The following Gaussian
grid numbers are supported: 320, 200, 160, 128, 80, 48 and 32.
- any sub-area
Extreme
forecast index requirements
The following command
language parameters are specific for the Extreme forecast index
requirements. Other parameters are listed under the general EPS
requirements above.
|
TYPE
|
=
|
EXTREME FORECAST
INDEX
EXTREME FORECAST
INDEX CONTROL
|
[EFI]
[EFIC]
|
|
DOMAIN
|
=
|
GLOBAL
|
[G]
|
|
NUMBER
|
=
|
OFF
|
|
PARAM
|
=
|
WIND GUST AT 10
METRES INDEX
TOTAL PRECIPITATION
INDEX
10 METRE WIND SPEED
INDEX
2 METRE TEMPERATURE
INDEX
|
[10FGI]
[TPI]
[10WSI]
[2TI]
|
|
LEVTYPE
|
=
|
SURFACE
|
[SFC]
|
|
|
LEVELIST
|
=
|
OFF
|
|
|
GRID
|
=
|
*
*/*
AUTOMATIC [AUTO]
If the form a/b is
used, a latitude-longitude grid is defined, where:
a= grid resolution
(deg.) along a latitude line (i.e. East/West)
b= grid resolution
(deg.) along a longitude line (i.e. North/South)
0.25/0.25 or
multiples thereof; (leg 1)
0.5/0.5 or
multiples thereof; (leg 2)
If a single
positive integer is coded, it is interpreted as Gaussian grid
number for grids defined as GAUSSIAN=REDUCED or REGULAR. The
following Gaussian grid numbers are supported:320, 200, 160, 128,
80, 48 and 32.
AUTOMATIC - values
for the parameter GRID will be defined automatically based on
STREAM/DOMAIN as well as RESOL/ GAUSSIAN parameter values;
|
|
STEP
|
=
|
* (hours)
|
|
when TIME=00
12/36/60/84/108
12/36/60/84/108
24/24-48/48-72/72-96/96-120
6-30/30-54/54-78/78-102/102-126/6-126/
30-150/240
when TIME=12
24/48/72/96/120
24/48/72/96/120
12-36/36-60/60-84/84-108/108-132
18-42/42-66/66-90/90-114/114-138/
18-138/42-162
|
(PARAM=10WSI)
(PARAM=2TI)
(PARAM=10FGI)
(PARAM=TPI)
(PARAM=10WSI)
(PARAM=2TI)
(PARAM=10FGI)
(PARAM=TPI)
|
|
NB ALL is not
permitted.
|
GRIB
section 1 definition for Extreme forecast index data
'ECMWF local code
table 2' version number used for EFI/EFIC products is 132.
- Table 5.9.2 GRIB
section 1 definition for EFI/EFIC products
|
Octet
|
Ksec1
element
|
Contents
|
|
41
|
37
|
ECMWF local GRIB use
definition identifier.
19 = Extreme
forecast index data
|
|
42
43
44-45
46-49
|
38
39
40
41
|
Class:
1 = Operations
Type:
27 = extreme
forecast index
28 = extreme
forecast index control
Stream:
1035 = Ensemble
forecasts
Version number or
experiment identifier.
(4 ASCII characters,
right justified)
|
|
50
51
|
42
43
|
Zero, for
compatibility with Mars labelling
Ensemble size
|
|
52
53-56
57-59
60-62
63-65
66-68
69
70-80
|
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
-
|
Power of 10 used to
scale climate weight = F, say
Weight*10**F applied
to climate month 1, stored as an integer
First month used to
build climate month 1, YYYYMM
Last month used to
build climate month 1, YYYYMM
First month used to
build climate month 2, YYYYMM
Last month used to
build climate month 2, YYYYMM
EFI order
Set to zero
|
|