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User Guide to ECMWF Forecast Products > The deterministic use of ECMWF forecasts > 
 Correction of non-systematic errors  Large scales are more predictable  
   

Scale and predictability

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Introduction
What can the forecaster do?
Scale and predictability
The day-to-day inconsistency
The poor man's ensemble approach
 
 

Both operational verification and theoretical studies have shown that the larger the scale an atmospheric system, the more predictable it normally is.




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 Correction of non-systematic errors  Large scales are more predictable  
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