The table below provides links to pdf and ppt
files containing lectures given in the module
"Predictability, Diagnostics and Seasonal Forecasting" of the NWP Training
Course lecture programme.
N.B. Any use of information on this
web site for lectures or written work must acknowledge ECMWF and the
relevant author(s).
|
Title of Lecture
|
Name of Lecturer |
PDF files
|
Powerpoint
files
|
|
PREDICTABILITY, DIAGNOSTICS
AND EXTENDED RANGE FORECASTING
|
|
Monday 16 March 2009
|
Operational and Research
Activities at ECMWF |
Renate Hagedorn |
|
|
| Introduction to Chaos |
Tim Palmer |
|
|
| Sources of Uncertainty |
Roberto Buizza |
|
|
| Systematic Errors |
Thomas Jung |
|
|
|
Tuesday 17 March 2009
|
| Ensemble Verification (I) |
Renate Hagedorn |
|
|
| Initial Uncertainties in the medium-range EPS (I) |
Martin Leutbecher |
|
|
| Using Stochastic Physics to Represent Model Error |
Glenn Shutts |
|
|
| Practice Session: Ensemble Verification |
Renate Hagedorn |
|
|
|
Wednesday 18 March 2009
|
Ensemble Verification (II) |
Renate Hagedorn |
|
|
| Initial Uncertainties in the medium-range EPS (II) |
Martin Leutbecher |
|
|
| Atmospheric Variability: Tropics |
Mark Rodwell |
|
|
| Practice Session: Lorenz-95 model |
Martin Leutbecher |
|
|
|
Thursday 19 March 2009
|
| Approaches to Ensemble Prediction |
Roberto Buizza |
|
|
| Diagnostic Techniques |
Thomas Jung |
|
|
| Atmospheric Variability: Vorticity, PV & Precipitation |
Mark Rodwell |
|
|
|
Friday 20 March 2009
|
| Ensemble Data Assimilation |
Roberto Buizza |
|
|
| Calibration of EPS's |
Renate Hagedorn |
|
|
| Using Combined Prediction Systems for Wind Energy Applications |
Michael Denhard |
|
|
|
Monday 23 March 2009
|
| Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Variability |
Magdalena Balmaseda |
|
|
| Teleconnections and Interannual Variability of the Atmosphere |
Franco Molteni |
|
|
| Initialization and Ensemble Generation in Seasonal Forecasting |
Magdalena Balmaseda |
|
|
| Applications of EPS in real-time hydrology and flood forecasting |
Florian Pappenberger |
|
|
| How to Communicate Uncertainties |
Renate Hagedorn |
|
|
|
Tuesday 24 March 2009
|
| The Monthly Forecast System at ECMWF |
Frederic Vitart |
|
|
| The Seasonal Forecast System at ECMWF |
Tim Stockdale |
|
|
| The Multi-Model Concept in Seasonal to Decadal Predictions |
Antje Weisheimer |
|
|
Wednesday 25 March 2009 |
| Weather Regimes |
Franco Molteni |
|
|