Presentations of the NWP-PR Training Course

The table below provides links to pdf and ppt files containing lectures given in the module "Predictability, Diagnostics and Seasonal Forecasting" of the NWP Training Course lecture programme.

N.B. Any use of information on this web site for lectures or written work must acknowledge ECMWF and the relevant author(s).

Title of Lecture	Name of Lecturer	PDF files	Powerpoint files
PREDICTABILITY, DIAGNOSTICS AND EXTENDED RANGE FORECASTING
Monday 18 October 2010
Operational and Research Activities at ECMWF	Renate Hagedorn
Introduction to Chaos	Tim Palmer
Sources of Uncertainty	Roberto Buizza
Diagnostics I	Mark Rodwell
Tuesday 19 October 2010
Ensemble Verification (I)	Renate Hagedorn
Initial Uncertainties in the medium-range EPS (I)	Martin Leutbecher
Ensemble Data Assimilation	Roberto Buizza
Practice Session: Ensemble Verification	Renate Hagedorn
Wednesday 20 October 2010
Ensemble Verification (II)	Renate Hagedorn
Initial Uncertainties in the medium-range EPS (II)	Martin Leutbecher
Approaches to Ensemble Prediction / TIGGE	Roberto Buizza
Practice Session: Communicating Unncertainty	Pierre Pinson
Thursday 21 October 2010
Using combined prediction systems for wind energy applications	Pierre Pinson
Systematic errors	Thomas Jung
Diagnostics II	Mark Rodwell
Practice Session: Lorenz-95 model	Martin Leutbecher		Tarfile
Friday 22 October 2010
Using stochastic physics to represent model error	Glenn Shutts
Diagnostic Techniques	Thomas Jung
Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Variability	Magdalena Balmaseda
Monday 25 October 2010
Post-processing of EPSs	Renate Hagedorn
Teleconnections and Interannual Variability of the Atmosphere	Franco Molteni
Initialization and Ensemble Generation in Seasonal Forecasting	Magdalena Balmaseda
The Seasonal Forecast System at ECMWF	Tim Stockdale
The Monthly Forecast System at ECMWF	Frederic Vitart
Tuesday 26 October 2010
The Multi-Model Concept in Seasonal to Decadal Predictions	Tim Stockdale
Weather Regimes in observations and ensembles	Franco Molteni
Clustering techniques and their applications	Susanna Corti
Wednesday 27 October 2010
Applications of EPS in real-time hydrology and flood forecasting	Florian Pappenberger