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There will be 1.5 days of invited speakers giving an overview on 10 key
issues, 1.5 days of working group and plenary discussions followed by
1 day for summary meeting of the TIGGE Working Group only.
Topics for Working Groups discussions
The main outcome from the workshop must be a clearly prioritised list
of fields to go into the TIGGE database. All working groups should make
this a clear objective and
each Working Group is expected to deliver a short (2-page) ppt, to be
shared in the plenary sessions.
To initiate each working group discussion, a list of questions to address
will be provided by the organising committee.
WG-1: Design of TIGGE experiments and model systems (chairs: Martin
Ehrendorfer and Jim Hansen)
- What are the scientific goals of TIGGE?
- What is the strategy to achieve these goals?
- How do we want to deal with initial uncertainties?
- How do we want to deal with model imperfection?
- How do initial perturbations matter?
- Can/should we assess initial perturbations against analysis error?
- If Pa were available - how would we generate perturbations?
WG-2: Postprocessing and verification (chairs: Tom Hamill and Beth Ebert)
- What post-processing techniques do we want to develop / apply?
- What training data sets are necessary?
- Do we need to verify ensembles or just probability forecasts derived
from ensembles?
- How can we verify without accounting for observational uncertainty?
- How should we verify ensemble forecasts of "objects" or
"entities"?
- Is it possible to verify a single ensemble forecast?
- What about verifying the ensemble mean?
- How can we convey information on the quality of ensemble forecasts
to external users?
WG-3: Applications in TIGGE (chairs: Mark Roulston and Francois Lalaurette)
- Who will have access to TIGGE data?
- What are the specific needs of high impact weather applications? (hurricanes,
floods, etc.)
- What are the specific needs of disaster mitigation applications? (health,
environment, etc.)
- What are the specific needs of economic applications? (energy, agriculture,
finance, tourism, etc.)
- What are the specific user requirements in developing countries?
- What information on forecast quality/credibility is needed?
WG-4: Infrastructure of TIGGE (chairs: Horst Boettger and Laurie Wilson)
- Development of a priority list of user requirements (see also specific
questions in this document)
- Development of strategy to facilitate user requirements
- What resources are necessary? (bandwidth, hardware, software, tools,
archiving strategy/policy)
- What are the costs?
- Development of agreement on data volume and structure
- Development of management structure and contractual agreement
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